Sep 25

Weekly Inter Market Analysis Sept 25-2016

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See previous week Weekly Inter Market Analysis.

Original post from http://mystocksinvesting.com

SPY (SPDR S&P500 ETF)

SPY rebounded from the resistance turned support zone. SPY is still trading in a Rising Wedge pattern and on uptrend after forming “higher high, higher low” chart pattern. Keep an eye on on key supports:

  • Resistance turned support zone: 211-213
  • Rising Wedge immediate support: about 210
  • Previous Head and Shoulders neckline support: about 204.
  • Rising Wedge next support: about 200

spy-sept-25-2016

VIX

VIX retraces back to 12.3 – a complacent zone.

vix-sept-25-2016

Sector Performance (SPDR Sector ETF)

  • Best Sectors: Utility (XLU)
  • Worst Sector: None
  • Note: Defensive sectors still lead the aggressive sectors.

sector-sept-25-2016

SUDX (S&P US Dollar Futures Index)

SUDX is still trading within a Symmetrical Triangle and likely to be trading in a tight range until a breakout. No rate hike from last week’s FOMC statement. Next FOMC statement on Nov 1/2.

 

sudx-sept-25-2016

FXE (Currency Shares Euro ETF)

FXE is curently trading sideway and range bound. No rate hike from last week’s FOMC statement. Have to wait till next FOMC statement on Nov 1/2 before we can see the next big move.

fxe-sept-25-2016

XLE (SPDR Energy Sector ETF)

XLE broke down from the uptrend channel, rebounded and rejected at the 69.31 resistance. Short term XLE is bearish. Next support to watch is 64.74. This support is quite strong as it has been tested for 5 times.

 

xle-sept-25-2016

USO (United States Oil Fund)

USO is still trading in a Symmetrical Triangle. Keep an eye on the next move when USO is trading closer to the apex of the triangle. Watch next Wednesday Sept 28 Crude Oil inventories report.

uso-sept-25-2016

 

TLT (iShares 20+ Years Treasury Bond ETF)

TLT rebounded and currently testing support turned resistance at 137.51. If TLT is rejected as this level, it is a confirmation of trend reversal.

tlt-sept-25-2016

 

GLD (SPDR Gold Shares)

GLD rebounded from the support at about 125. This support has been tested 4 times previously. As the next FOMC statement only releases on Nov 1/2, there may be a potential for GLD to breakout from this rectangle consolidation to head towards 140.

gld-sept-25-2016

 

Next Week Economic Calendar

Key events:

  • ECB President Draghi Speaks on Sept 26 Monday and Sept 28 Wednesday.
  • Fed Chair Yellen Testifies on Sept 28 Wednesday and Sept 29 Thursday.
  • China releases Manufacturing PMI on Sept 29 and Sept 30.

economic-calander-sept25-oct-1-2016

 

 

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Sep 21

Singapore REIT Stock Shortlisting Bubble Charts September 2016

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Bubble chart derived from September 12, 2016 Singapore REITs Fundamental Comparison Table. There are no significant changes compare to previous Singapore REIT Bubble Chart. Those small cap Singapore REITs with > 8% distribution yield are SoilbuildBizReit (SV3U), Lippo Malls Indonesia Retail Trust (D5IU), Cambridge Ind Trust (J91U), Sabana Reit (M1GU), Cache Log Trust (K2LU), IREIT Global (UD1U) and Viva Ind Trust (T8B)

These Bubble Charts are used to show the “relative” position compare to other Singapore REITs.

Two visual bubble charts to pick and avoid:

  1. Undervalue Singapore REITs with High Distribution Yield** (Value Pick)
  2. Overvalue Singapore REITs with High Gearing Ratio (Risk Avoidance)

singapore-reit-bubble-chart-value-sept21-2016singapore-reit-bubble-chart-risk-sept21-2016

** Distribution Yield are lagging.

Original Post from http://mystocksinvesting.com

Disclaimer: The analysis is for Author own use and NOT to be used as Buy / Sell recommendation. Get a proper training on “How to use this Singapore REIT Bubble Charts?” here.

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Sep 18

Weekly Inter Market Analysis Sept 18-2016

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See previous week Weekly Inter Market Analysis.

Original post from http://mystocksinvesting.com

SPY (SPDR S&P500 ETF)

SPY rebounded from the resistance turned support zone. SPY is still trading in a Rising Wedge pattern. Keep an eye on on key supports:

  • Resistance turned support zone: 211-213
  • Rising Wedge immediate support: about 210
  • Previous Head and Shoulders neckline support: about 204.
  • Rising Wedge next support: about 200

spy-sept-18-2016

 

VIX

VIX retraces after last week 40% spike but expect volatility in the coming week as FOMC releases statement on Sept 21.vix-sept-18-2016

 

Sector Performance (SPDR Sector ETF)

  • Best Sectors: Technology (XLK), Utility (XLU) and Healthcare (XLV)
  • Worst Sector: Energy (XLE), Financial Services (XLFS) and Financial (XLF)
  • Note: Defensive sectors outperforms aggressive sectors. XLK outperforms due to Apple (AAPL) which has very high weighting of 14.22%.

spdr-sector-performance-sept-18-2016

xlk-holding

SUDX (S&P US Dollar Futures Index)

SUDX is currently trading within a Symmetrical Triangle and likely to be trading in a tight range until a breakout. Wait for Yellen’s speech on the interest rate hike confirmation.

sudxsept-18-2016

FXE (Currency Shares Euro ETF)

FXE is curently trading sideway and range bound. Wait for Yellen’s speech on the interest rate hike confirmation before we can see the next big move.

fxe-sept-18-2016

XLE (SPDR Energy Sector ETF)

XLE broke down from the uptrend channel. Next support to watch is 64.74. This support is quite strong as it has been tested for 5 times.

xle-sept-18-2016

 

USO (United States Oil Fund)

USO is currently trading in a Symmetrical Triangle. Keep an eye on the next move when USO is trading closer to the apex of the triangle. Watch next Wednesday Sept 21 Crude Oil inventories report.

uso-sept-18-2016

 

TLT (iShares 20+ Years Treasury Bond ETF)

TLT gapped down and broke the uptrend support. Next important resistance turned support at 132.49.
tlt-sept-18-2016

GLD (SPDR Gold Shares)

Gold is currently trading in a consolidation (Rectangle pattern) and still on uptrend.  Currently GLD is just sitting on an important resistance turned support at about 125. This support has been tested 3 times previously. Can this support hold? If this support is broken, there will be a trend reversal as it is a Triple Tops chart pattern breakdown.gld-sept-18-2016

 

Next Week Economic Calendar

Key event:

  • Japan Monetary Policy & BOJ press conference on Sept 20 Tuesday and Sept 21 Wednesday
  • FOMC statement on Sept 21 Wednesday
  • Crude oil inventories on Sept 21 Wednesday

economic-calendar-sept-18-sept-24-2016

 

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