Synear probably takes a breather after a week gain of 22% from $0.275 to $0.335. This bearish doji candles end the uptrend and the stock price may go into consolidation. If next Monday trading ends with a bearish long candle, Abandoned Baby pattern will be formed showing a reversal bearish trend. The stock price may retrace back support line between $0.27 and $0.28. If the Abandoned Baby pattern is not formed, the stock may reach $0.365 after a temporary consolidation.
A lesson I’ve learnt recently is not to chase the price no matter what the technical indicators showed. I chased the price of Hongguo at $0.34 (at the top) when I saw all Standard Six indicators showed bullish convergence, however the price retraced back to $0.27 within one week. Currently I am still at lost with Hongguo’s $0.31 today with thin trading volume. I will probably hold the stock for a longer term and wait to reach the my calculated intrinsic value of $0.85 (calculated before the recent Q2 2009 financil result).
The hardest part of the stock trading is to control the emotion, however I was able to control my emotion by delaying the action by one part after seeing Synear breakout from its triangle. I was very tempted to enter the trade at $0.285 but I kept reminding myself not to chase the price. Eventually I was able to enter at $0.275 and today Synear closed at $0.305, a handsomely 9% paper gain in one day!
Today I almost go to chase China HongXing stock price at $0.215 before the market close. Fortunately I was disciplined enough to wait for another day. Base on the candle sticks, the stock price failed to break the resistance and would probably retrace back to between $0.18 to $0.20. This gave me another opportunity to buy on a dip.
Lesson Learnt: It is OK to make mistakes but must learn how to prevent making the same mistake for the second time.
Resistance at $0.215. If the stock price break the resistance, it may go up to $0.268 (161.8% Fibonacci). The next strong support at $0.183 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement) and $0.156.
PE = 6.8
Dividend Yield = 1.25%
NAV = $0.3359
Base on Q2 2009 result:
Current Ratio = 25
Cash = $520 Million
Net Earning = 9.5%
ROA = 10.1% (2008 Full Year)
ROE = 11.6% (2008 Full Year)
3 Years Historical High = $1.42
Current Price = $0.215