Gold on Bullish Up Trend!

Gold ETF (GLD) has broken out from a Bullish Pennant and confirmed the uptrend. 20D & 50D SMA are sloping up, and 50D crosses up 200D SMA. With this breakout, GLD has gained more than 20% from the bottom since Dec 2015. Also take note that the recent parabolic gain in GLD is supported by increasing trading volume. Be cautious on the Parabolic curve chart pattern. You will love it and also hate it if you don’t know when to get out.  See other examples of stock charts which show Parabolic Curve here.

GLD Mar4-2016

See previous post on Gold ETF (GLD) here.

Singapore REITs Comparison Table for Dividend Investment – May 2013

Marked BUBBLE in black! Amazingly people is willing to overpay > 70% of the value to invest in First REIT and Parkway Life REIT.

Singapore S-REIT stock comparison table 2May-2013

Compare to last month SREIT comparison table:

  • Price/NAV increases from 1.20 to 1.22
  • Dividend Yield drops from 5.34% to 4.97%
  • Gearing Ratio drops from 33.15% to 32.92%

First REIT chart shows Parabolic Curve.

First REIT May2-2013

 

Parkway REIT is at almost historical high.

Parkway REIT May2-2013

 

 

Doing Fundamental Analysis of Singapore REIT is relatively easier than stock. If you are interested to learn how to do research on Singapore REIT and also time the entry / exit by learning the simple Trend Analysis, you may want to check out my 1st public tutorial “How to pick Singapore REIT for Dividend Investing” .

 

Starhub: Boring Stock!

Someone ask me whether Starhub is good for long term investing…… My answer: “Depends on your objective and your risk appetite”.

For me, Starhub is a boring stock base on a few reasons:

Fundamentally

  •  I will not invest in a stock which is NOT undervalue. Starhub is overvalue base on PE ratio & PEG valuation method.
  • 4.4% Dividend is not attractive to me because there are other stocks with better Dividend like REIT. There is no guarantee that Starhub must pay dividend to the investor as a company, unlike REIT which governed by law that they have to pay out 90% of the net income.
  • One of my investing rule is “Buy Low Sell High”. Current Starhub stock price is DEFINITELY NOT at Low. No point for me to take the risk because downside risk is much higher than upside potential.

 

Key Statistics for STH

Current P/E Ratio (ttm) 21.6436
Estimated P/E(12/2013) 21.3679
Relative P/E vs. FSSTI 1.6182
Earnings Per Share (SGD) (ttm) 0.2093
Est. EPS (SGD) (12/2013) 0.2120
Est. PEG Ratio 5.6529
Market Cap (M SGD) 7,787.37
Shares Outstanding (M) 1,719.07
30 Day Average Volume 1,692,133
Price/Book (mrq) 178.9531
Price/Sale (ttm) 3.2117
Dividend Indicated Gross Yield 4.42%
Cash Dividend (SGD) 0.0500
Last Dividend 04/17/2013
5 Year Dividend Growth 5.05%
Next Earnings Announcement 05/03/2013

Technically

  • I am a trader. I HATE to see those stock chart in one straight line. There is no clear pattern, support and resistance to plan my trade.
  • Starhub is trading in a Parabolic curve without a healthy correction along the way.
  • I am unable to plan my profit target, stop loss and holding time frame.

2013April19-StarHub-800x600

Is Starhub a boring stock? I am also interested to know from you… Feel free to leave your view here.