Don’t chase the price!

  • Post author:

A lesson I’ve learnt recently is not to chase the price no matter what the technical indicators showed. I chased the price of Hongguo at $0.34 (at the top) when I saw all Standard Six indicators showed bullish convergence, however the price retraced back to $0.27 within one week. Currently I am still at lost with Hongguo’s $0.31 today with thin trading volume. I will probably hold the stock for a longer term and wait to reach the my calculated intrinsic value of $0.85 (calculated before the recent Q2 2009 financil result).

The hardest part of the stock trading is to control the emotion, however I was able to control my emotion by delaying the action by one part after seeing Synear breakout from its triangle. I was very tempted to enter the trade at $0.285 but I kept reminding myself not to chase the price. Eventually I was able to enter at $0.275 and today Synear closed at $0.305, a handsomely 9% paper gain in one day!

Today I almost go to chase China HongXing stock price at $0.215 before the market close. Fortunately I was disciplined enough to wait for another day. Base on the candle sticks, the stock price failed to break the resistance and would probably retrace back to between $0.18 to $0.20. This gave me another opportunity to buy on a dip.

Lesson Learnt: It is OK to make mistakes but must learn how to prevent making the same mistake for the second time.

Continue ReadingDon’t chase the price!

China HongXing – trying to break strong resistance of $0.215

  • Post author:

Another hot China stocks trying to breakout from the strong resistance with increasing volume.

Resistance at $0.215. If the stock price break the resistance, it may go up to $0.268 (161.8% Fibonacci). The next strong support at $0.183 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement) and $0.156.

PE = 6.8
Dividend Yield = 1.25%
NAV = $0.3359

Base on Q2 2009 result:
Current Ratio = 25
Cash = $520 Million
Net Earning = 9.5%
ROA = 10.1% (2008 Full Year)
ROE = 11.6% (2008 Full Year)
3 Years Historical High = $1.42
Current Price = $0.215

Continue ReadingChina HongXing – trying to break strong resistance of $0.215

Synear – another stock breaking out from triangle!

  • Post author:

Synear had a breakout from triangle and closed above $0.28 resistance. If the stock price can hold above this resistance line for the next few days, $0.28 will become a very strong support line.

All Standard Six Technical Indicators shows Bullish Convergence.
Base on Q2, 2009 financial report:
PE = 8.9
Dividend Yield = No Dividend.
NAV = $0.4778
Net Earning = 10.5%
Current Ratio = 7.48
ROA = 7.1% (Base on 2008 Full Year)
ROE = 7.7% (base on 2008 Full Year)
Cash Flow = S$235 Million (41% increase with reference to 2008 Full Year)
Stock Background
3 years historal high = $2.44
Current Price = $0.285 (only 11% of 3 years high)
Continue ReadingSynear – another stock breaking out from triangle!