Benefits of a balanced stock portfolio and how to achieve it

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In the first three sessions of 2013 the Straits Times Index (STI) firmed +1.84%. This morning’s open extended the 2013 gain to +2.11%. The strongest sector index over the last three sessions has been Basic Materials, followed by Consumer Goods. While all Sector Indices provided by FTSE Group are in the green over the first three sessions of 2013, all have performed differently. The REIT index gained the least over the three sessions.
 
Dividing investments over different sectors is common practice for investors that seek to diversify risk and return. Consider the recent different performances and constituents of the FTSE ST Oil & Gas Index and FTSE ST Telecommunications Index. The FTSE ST Oil & Gas Index is made up of 12 stocks versus the FTSE ST Telecommunications Index which is made up of 3 stocks.
 
On Friday, the FTSE ST Oil & Gas Index declined -0.24% while the FTSE ST Telecommunications Index gained +0.24%. This brought the 2013 to date gain for the Oil & Gas and Telecommunications Sector indices to similar levels of +1.45% and +1.53% respectively.  
 
Taking more time into consideration, the difference between sectoral performances has been more pronounced. Last year the FTSE ST Oil & Gas Index outperformed the STI by rising +23.8%. Taking reinvested dividends into consideration, the Oil & Gas Index return was boost to +27.9%. Meanwhile, the FTSE ST Telecommunications Index gained +8.6% over 2012 with dividends boosting the return to +13.8%. The simple average return of the two indices combined came to 20.9% including dividend distributions. By placing equal investment emphasis in the two sector indices, returns were smoothed across two sectors that performed differently.
 
The relative performance of the two indices was reversed in 2011. In 2011, the FTSE ST Oil & Gas Index declined -17.4%, while the Telecommunications Index gained +5.0%. Dividend distributions in 2011 meant the total return of the indices was boost to a -14.9% decline for Oil & Gas and a gain of +10.6% for Telecommunications. The simple average return of the two indices combined came to a decline of -2.2% including dividend distributions. Placing equal investment emphasis in the two sector indices reduced the risk of having all the eggs in an underperforming sector.
 
Both sector Indices have performed differently in the past with the Oil & Gas sector more cyclical than the Telecommunications Index. The past tendency for the Oil & Gas Index to swing more than Telecommunications is best exemplified through the volatility gauge for Telecommunications at 13.5%, less than half the same measure for Oil & Gas Index at 28.2% over a three year period ending December 31.
 
The five largest Oil & Gas stocks as categorised by Industry Classification Benchmark (ICB) and respective 2012 price performances are:

  • Keppel Corp (BN4, + 18.3%),
  • Sembcorp Marine (S51, +20.4%)
  • Sembcorp Industries (U96, +29.6%)
  • STX OSV Holdings (MS7, +12.1%)
  • Ezion Holdings (5ME, +156.1%)

 
The five largest telecommunication stocks as categorised by ICB and respective 2012 price performances are:

  • Singtel (Z74, +6.8%)
  • Total Access Communications USD (B2W, +14.8%)
  • Starhub (CC3, +30.2%)
  • M1 (B2F, +8.4%)
  • Keppel T & T (K11, +22.5%)  

 
Investors who wish to learn more about these stocks are encouraged to participate in the education events list below. Please note that two of the aforementioned Telco stocks, Total Access Communications and Keppel Telecommunications & Transportation are not highly active thus providing an element of liquidity risk.

 

Source: SGX MyGateWay

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Singapore REITs Comparison Table for Dividend Investment – Jan 2013

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Latest Comparison table for Singapore REIT in terms of Market Cap, PE ratio, NAV, Gearing Ratio, Distribution Yield and Asset Type.

Some Singapore REITS are super over value now! I marked those in dark red in the comparison table.

 

Last comparison table of Singapore REITs.

Some readers requested me to conduct class to teach how to select a right REIT for dividend investing and explain the terminology of financial ratio of the above table. Please check out the class detail on REIT investing by clicking HERE (REIT Investing Class).

Continue ReadingSingapore REITs Comparison Table for Dividend Investment – Jan 2013

Is it Good time to bet on FXI iShares FTSE/Xinhua China 25 Index (ETF) ?

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Looks like China economy has bottomed up and slowly recovering. Both PMI and FXI are telling some bullish stories.

A few bullish signals on FXI chart:

  • FXI has broken the resistance of $39.33.
  • FXI is trading above 20D, 50D and 200D SMA.
  • FXI is showing “Higher High, Higher Low” uptrend pattern.
  • FXI is showing a nice Elliott Wave.
  • FXI broke out from A Rising Wedge.
Things to Watch:
  • Need to wait for FXI to retrace back to about $40 to test the resistance turned support level.
  • $40 is an entry level for a bullish trade. (Buy on Dip on an uptrend strategy).

FXI is iShares FTSE/Xinhua China 25 Index (ETF).

Top Holdings* as of 1/3/2013

NAME % OF FUND
CHINA MOBILE LTD 9.71%
CHINA CONSTRUCTION BANK-H 8.80%
IND & COMM BK OF CHINA-H 8.01%
CNOOC LTD 6.77%
BANK OF CHINA LTD-H 5.94%
CHINA PACIFIC INSURANCE GR-H 4.26%
CHINA LIFE INSURANCE CO-H 4.25%
PING AN INSURANCE GROUP CO-H 4.20%
CHINA SHENHUA ENERGY CO-H 4.07%
CHINA PETROLEUM & CHEMICAL-H 3.97%
Total 59.98%

The latest published Manufacturing PMI on Dec 31 is 50.6; a consecutive 2 months expansion.

 

HSBC Final Manufacturing PMI 51.5 show the similar 2 months expansion.
Note: PMI is economy leading indicator. 
Continue ReadingIs it Good time to bet on FXI iShares FTSE/Xinhua China 25 Index (ETF) ?