261.8% Fibonacci Retracement Level

SingPost: Amazingly hitting 261.8% Fibonacci Retracement Level

Post author:Marubozu
Post published:April 26, 2015

Amazingly seeing SingPost hit the 261.8% Fibonacci Retracement Level after re-plotting the chart after 1 year +. See last chart for SingPost here. Currently SingPost is just sitting above the 200D SMA support.

0% FR: $0.925
100% FR: $1.395
61.8% FR: $1.215
161.8% FR: $1.685
261.8% FR: $2.155

Current P/E Ratio (ttm)	28.8996
Estimated P/E(03/2015)	26.3699
Relative P/E vs. FSSTI	2.0463
Earnings Per Share (SGD) (ttm)	0.0666
Est. EPS (SGD) (03/2015)	0.0730
Est. PEG Ratio	2.3821
Market Cap (M SGD)	4,132.76
Shares Outstanding (M)	2,146.89
30 Day Average Volume	5,382,967
Price/Book (mrq)	6.0138
Price/Sale (ttm)	4.8840
Dividend Indicated Gross Yield	3.25%
Cash Dividend (SGD)	0.0125
Dividend Ex-Date	02/13/2015
5 Year Dividend Growth	0.00%
Next Earnings Announcement	05/15/2015

Noble Group: Bull is back!

Post author:Marubozu
Post published:November 6, 2013

All signs are showing Noble Group is going to start a bullish uptrend.

Noble Group has cleared the previous support turned resistance of Descending Triangle of $1.04.
Noble Group has cleared the 200D SMA resistance and trading above all the 3 Moving Averages.
Noble Group is trading in an uptrend channel.
Morning Doji Star (or Bullish Abandoned Baby) rebounded at up trend channel support and 100% FR support.
Noble Group is fitting the Fibonacci Retracement Level (0%, 61.8%, 100%, 161.8%) very nicely.
Noble Group will be heading towards 261.8% Fibonacci Retracement level at about $1.25 IF
- Stay above $1.04 and this becomes a reliable support.
- Clear $1.06 resistance (161.8% FR)
- Uptrend still intact (higher high, higher low)

However, the whole bullish scenario will be void if Noble Group goes below $1.04 and the 200D SMA become resistance.

Original analysis by Marubozu @ My Stocks Investing Journey.

WATCH OUT Earning release on Nov 12, 2013.

Key Statistics for NOBL

Current P/E Ratio (ttm)	23.5758
Estimated P/E(12/2013)	15.1685
Relative P/E vs. FSSTI	1.7251
Earnings Per Share (USD) (ttm)	0.0360
Est. EPS (USD) (12/2013)	0.0560
Est. PEG Ratio	1.0112
Market Cap (M SGD)	6,991.81
Shares Outstanding (M)	6,627.31
30 Day Average Volume	26,622,270
Price/Book (mrq)	1.0964
Price/Sale (ttm)	0.0578
Dividend Indicated Gross Yield	2.13%
Cash Dividend (USD)	0.0181
Dividend Ex-Date	05/14/2013
5 Year Dividend Growth	0.53%
Next Earnings Announcement	11/12/2013

Apple (AAPL) Trade Idea

Post author:Marubozu
Post published:August 24, 2013

Chart Pattern: AAPL breakout from Inverted Head and Shoulders with neckline about $460. AAPL also broke the 200D SMA resistance and technically entered into bullish trend. The stock also retraced to retest the neckline support to confirm this is a successful breakout.

Trading Strategy: Short Put Spread.

Target Entry zone:
- Scenario 1: $470-$480 when AAPL retraces back to Fibonacci Fan support. Currently AAPL is facing the 261.8% Fibonacci Resistance.
- Scenario 2: If AAPL breakouts from current Bull Pennant / Bull Flag (above $510)
Scenario 1
- STO AAPL Oct 13 480 Put
- BTO AAPL Oct 13 470 Put
Scenario 2
- STO AAPL Oct 13 510 Put
- BTO AAPL Oct 13 500 Put
Minimum Price Target : $530 (Inverted Head and Shoulders Breakout Target)

AAPL Chart

AAPL Fundamental

AAPL Intrinsic Value

Operating Cash Flow = $52,894 Million
No of Shares outstanding = 908.5 Million
Beta = 0.98
Discount Rate = 6%
No Growth (0% for next 10 years), IV = $443
Conservative Growth (5% for next 10 years), IV = $563
Moderate Growth (9% for next 10 years), IV = $709
Adjusted Growth Rate (12% for next 10 years). IV = $826

Chart from thinkorswim, get FREE chart here.

Original post by Marubozu from My Stocks Investing Journey.