United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG) is an ETF to track the Natural Gas prices of Futures contract. Natural Gas is energy commodity and the price is influenced by the supply and demand condition. The ETF price has been beaten down 81% since its historical high of $63.48.
I am preparing to long the stocks as the economy will recover eventually and the energy consumption will increase in the long run. Furthermore, natural gas consumption will increase in the coming winter and this energy commodity price is expected to go up.
UNG is breaking out from its down trend channel and going to test $12.22 resistance level (61.8% Fibonacci Retracement). If it breaks and stay above the resistance turned support line, the stock price will probably be moving upward. The stock price is currently above its 20D & 50D MA support lines. If the stock price fails to break the resistance, it may move down to about $9.00 level.
My investment plan
Entry point = about $12. If the stock price fails to break the resistance and retrace back to $9.00, I will buy more and do a dollar cost averaging down.
Investment Time Frame = 1 to 3 years.