First Resources Fundamental and Chart Analysis

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First Resources Fundamental Analysis

Business: First Resources Limited is one of the largest private sector producers of crude palm oil in Indonesia. Its primary business activities are cultivating oil palms, harvesting the fresh fruit bunches from those trees and processing crude palm oil and palm kernel which it sells in Indonesia and internationally.

  • Current Price = $1.49
  • Current NAV = $0.5867
  • Current PE = 14.14 (At Fair Value)
  • Rolling PE = 12.82
  • Dividend Yield = 1.46% (Not interesting)
  • FY09 Net Profit Margin = 51.4%
  • FY09 ROA = 12.3%
  • FY09 ROE = 21.9%
  • FY09 Current Ratio = 3.6
  • FY09 Debt to Equity = 0.4

First Resources Chart Analysis

Currently First Resources is trading at close to 2 years high. The recent pull back to test the Rising Wedge support at about $1.48. If First Resources can hold this support level, the stock will face the next immediate resistance at $1.59. Rising Wedge chart pattern is normally a trend reversal pattern.

 

In Summary:

Fundamentally the stock looks good. Currently First Resources is trading at its fair value (PE close to 15). Coupled with a potential reversal base on the chart pattern, downside risk is higher than upside potential. First Resources should be kept under watch list and wait for pull back to accumulate for medium to long term investing for capital gain but not for dividend.

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Raffles Education: Start to Get Bullish?

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Raffles Education breaks out from a Falling Wedge today with a spike in trading volume. Could this be a start of the bull run for RafflesEdu? I think not yet. To be safe on a good entry, need to watch out for the following:

  • RafflesEdu immediately face a 200D MA resistance after the breakout. Need to see whether the bull has enough steam to pierce through this 200D MA resistance with healthy volume.
  • If this 200D MA resistance is broken, we need to watch whether the pull back of the stock price can stay above this 200D MA, ie. make the resistance becomes support.
  • Also take note that the 200D MA long term trend is still sloping down.
  • Need to watch the 20D, 50D and 200D MA crossover to confirm the downtrend has stopped and reverse to the up trend.

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