First Resources: New Elliott Wave Starts?

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First Resources has completed a Full Elliott Wave (1-2-3-4-5-A-B-C), is the stock going to start another new Elliott Wave? So far 200D MA has proved to be a very reliable support.

Base on the chart, First Resources has started an uptrend where the stock price is currently trading above 20D, 50D and 200D MA. Immediate support at $1.338 which is the 61.8% Fibonacci Retracement Support and also the 50D MA support.

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First Resources Fundamental and Chart Analysis

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First Resources Fundamental Analysis

Business: First Resources Limited is one of the largest private sector producers of crude palm oil in Indonesia. Its primary business activities are cultivating oil palms, harvesting the fresh fruit bunches from those trees and processing crude palm oil and palm kernel which it sells in Indonesia and internationally.

  • Current Price = $1.49
  • Current NAV = $0.5867
  • Current PE = 14.14 (At Fair Value)
  • Rolling PE = 12.82
  • Dividend Yield = 1.46% (Not interesting)
  • FY09 Net Profit Margin = 51.4%
  • FY09 ROA = 12.3%
  • FY09 ROE = 21.9%
  • FY09 Current Ratio = 3.6
  • FY09 Debt to Equity = 0.4

First Resources Chart Analysis

Currently First Resources is trading at close to 2 years high. The recent pull back to test the Rising Wedge support at about $1.48. If First Resources can hold this support level, the stock will face the next immediate resistance at $1.59. Rising Wedge chart pattern is normally a trend reversal pattern.

 

In Summary:

Fundamentally the stock looks good. Currently First Resources is trading at its fair value (PE close to 15). Coupled with a potential reversal base on the chart pattern, downside risk is higher than upside potential. First Resources should be kept under watch list and wait for pull back to accumulate for medium to long term investing for capital gain but not for dividend.

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