SPH’s lesson learnt – Exit trade without looking at the chart

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Last Friday SPH closed at $3.70 and I started to regret that I exit the trade too early. I bought SPH at about $3.05 and sold all at $3.48. I should have hold the stocks for a longer period.

My mistakes from this trade:

  • I let my emotion to take charge of my decision. I had worries that STI would soon be corrected and turned bearish in Sept. I can’t control my fear and decide to off load my positions.
  • I did not look at the chart before making my decision to sell. I would not have sold my SPH shares if I plot the chart earlier. The stock price was moving inside the channel and on the up trend. I should have sold the shares when the price hit the upper channel resistance instead of sold at the dip!
  • SPH is a defensive stock with low beta which response slower to the STI correction. In addition, investors will switch to defensive stocks when there is a market correction.

Fortunately I did not lose money in this trade but this was a really good lesson for me to perfect my entry and exit timing in future.

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Cosco – will be breaking out from the triangle soon!

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What goes up must come down, what come down must go up! Although Cosco’s stock price has been beaten down recently, it has very big upside potential in the long term although the current fundamental is not really fantastic.

There are signs that Cosco will be breaking out from the triangle soon. The gyration of the wave is getting smaller as every day goes by. The stock price is currently testing its 20D & 50D MA support line. If it breaks out from the triangle and move south, the next support line is $1.15 (61.8% Fibonacci Retracement). If it breaks out and move north, $1.45 will be a strong resistance.

3 Years Historical High = $7.9
Current Price = $1.25 (16% of the 3 years historical high)

Continue ReadingCosco – will be breaking out from the triangle soon!

Raffles Education – Bounced back from 200D MA & reversed the trend!

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What a big difference within a week! Last week the chart looked so bearish but today the stock price closed at $0.53 (with 48 million shares traded, #9 most active stocks of the day) showing a “Three Inside Up” reversal pattern after bounced back from 200D MA trend support of $0.51. Technical Indicators like Parabolic SAR, MACD, RSI and Stochastic are showing sign of reversal of bearish trend to bullish trend.

I was unable to resist this golden opportunity and entered the trade at $0.525 this evening. The support levels are pretty strong at $0.51 (200D MA) & $0.535 (61.8% Fibonacci Retracement Level).

Continue ReadingRaffles Education – Bounced back from 200D MA & reversed the trend!