Super Group: Is the Recent Sell Off a Surprise?

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It is not a surprise Super Group faced a huge sell off after the recent headline news of “Super: 3Q13 Net Profit Down 17% To S$18.7 Million”.

Fundamentally the stock is not cheap base on PE ratio. Technically Super Group is showing a Head and Shoulder and the stock price records a historical high at about $5.00. The shorties have been watching the $4.00 neckline for quite sometimes.

Super Group will start the down trend from now on as the stock has already entered into bearish territory. Watch for the rebound back to $3.50 (50% FR), $3.84 (61.8% FR) or $4.00 (neckline support turned resistance + round number) to short again!

Original post by Marubozu @ My Stocks Investing Journey.

Super Group Nov17-2013

 

 

Key Statistics for SUPER

Current P/E Ratio (ttm) 19.7406
Estimated P/E(12/2013) 22.4359
Relative P/E vs. FSSTI 1.4417
Earnings Per Share (SGD) (ttm) 0.1773
Est. EPS (SGD) (12/2013) 0.1560
Est. PEG Ratio 1.2972
Market Cap (M SGD) 1,951.55
Shares Outstanding (M) 557.59
30 Day Average Volume 1,419,600
Price/Book (mrq) 4.4465
Price/Sale (ttm) 3.4897
Dividend Indicated Gross Yield 2.03%
Cash Dividend (SGD) 0.0200
Dividend Ex-Date 08/23/2013
5 Year Dividend Growth 34.72%
Next Earnings Announcement 02/27/2014
Continue ReadingSuper Group: Is the Recent Sell Off a Surprise?

Suntec REIT: Bull Cannot Make It!

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Suntec REIT has tempted to clear the 200D SMA resistance but failed miserably. Now the bear is in charged and throw Suntec REIT to bearish territory supported by a spike in selling volume. Beware of further sell down!

** Can you see a Elliott Wave on Suntec REIT?

I had shared this Suntec REIT chart in my previous REIT class and warned everyone to watch this 200D SMA resistance closely. Hopefully my students cut loss or take profit when the stock price goes below the 200D SMA. It is currently close to 10% drop in less than 1 month. This is also a very good lesson learnt the importance of understanding technical analysis, be discipline and follow trading rules.

This is a classic example that cheap stock price can go even cheaper although Suntec REIT is undervalue base on NAV and have a decent distribution yield.

See Singapore REIT Fundamental Analysis Comparison Table here.

2013Nov17 SuntecReit-800x600

Continue ReadingSuntec REIT: Bull Cannot Make It!

Noble Group: Bull is back!

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All signs are showing Noble Group is going to start a bullish uptrend.

  • Noble Group has cleared the previous support turned resistance of Descending Triangle of $1.04.
  • Noble Group has cleared the 200D SMA resistance and trading above all the 3 Moving Averages.
  • Noble Group is trading in an uptrend channel.
  • Morning Doji Star (or Bullish Abandoned Baby) rebounded at up trend channel support and 100% FR support.
  • Noble Group is fitting the Fibonacci Retracement Level (0%, 61.8%, 100%, 161.8%) very nicely.
  • Noble Group will be heading towards 261.8% Fibonacci Retracement level at about $1.25 IF
    • Stay above $1.04 and this becomes a reliable support.
    • Clear $1.06 resistance (161.8% FR)
    • Uptrend still intact (higher high, higher low)

However, the whole bullish scenario will be void if Noble Group goes below $1.04 and the 200D SMA become resistance.

2013Nov6-Noble Group

 

Original analysis by Marubozu @ My Stocks Investing Journey.

WATCH OUT Earning release on Nov 12, 2013.

Key Statistics for NOBL

Current P/E Ratio (ttm) 23.5758
Estimated P/E(12/2013) 15.1685
Relative P/E vs. FSSTI 1.7251
Earnings Per Share (USD) (ttm) 0.0360
Est. EPS (USD) (12/2013) 0.0560
Est. PEG Ratio 1.0112
Market Cap (M SGD) 6,991.81
Shares Outstanding (M) 6,627.31
30 Day Average Volume 26,622,270
Price/Book (mrq) 1.0964
Price/Sale (ttm) 0.0578
Dividend Indicated Gross Yield 2.13%
Cash Dividend (USD) 0.0181
Dividend Ex-Date 05/14/2013
5 Year Dividend Growth 0.53%
Next Earnings Announcement 11/12/2013
Continue ReadingNoble Group: Bull is back!