General Electric (GE) down trend has been confirmed after failing to break 200D MA Resistance for the 2nd time! The stock is on track to the price target of $13 after breaking out from the wedge pattern. Follow up from previous post.
I have been waiting for a right time to short the S&P500 ETF (SPY) and finally I found clear signals to short this ETF by buying PUT Option.
Bearish Signals
I am expecting SPY to retrace at least 40% during this correction and my target price is $101.5 (38.2% Fibonacci Retracement Level).
JPM is forming at Double Tops and currently just sitting on the neckline at $37.70. Base on the chart, there is a very high chance for a breakout of this Double Tops chart pattern due to the following observation:
Plus fundemantally, all the negative news in Euro zone debt crisis and no clear signs that the crisis can be resolved in near term. Besides the PIIGS, now Hungary is coming into picture! I feel this crisis is even worse than than US financial crisis because Euro zone cannot print money to save those countries.
The breakout target price is $27.70 which is close to the 61.8% Fibonacci Retracement Level. I find no reason not to short JPM by buying a PUT option base on the current analysis. In addition, the implied volatility (IV) is low that make the option not so expensive. Any contrarion out that have a bullish view?