Global Stock Market Indices PE & PB Ratio At a Glance (1 Jan 2015)

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Happy New Year 2015!

The following market data can give an inside view on what could be the stock market outlook in 2015.

Market Indices PE & PB Ratio for Major Stock Exchange globally

  • US: Dow Jones Industrial, S&P500, NASDAQ, Russell 2000
  • Europe: FTSE100, CAC40, DAX
  • Asia: KLCI, STI, HangSeng, ASX200, CSI 300, JCI, SET, KOPSI, NIKKEI 225, SENSEX, TWSE, NZX50, PSEi

Global Stock Market PE PB Ratio Summary Jan 1-2015

Dow Jones Industrial, S&P500 and NASDAQ are still on uptrend but have shown the reversal candlestick pattern at the last trading day of 2014. Average PE ratio decreases from 23.17 to 21.30 whereas PB Ratio decreases from 2.27 to 2.22. Most of the stock market now are overvalue now. Technically $INDU, $SPX, $COMP are all on clear up trend and we are entering a seasonally most bullish six months from Nov to April base on past statistics. However, it is important to be cautious that stock market may go through the sharp correction after the QE ends. At the moment, we may still in the middle of Santa Claus Rally.

See Dec 2014 Global Stock Market PE Ratio here.

Shiller PE Ratio Jan1-2015S&P500 PB Ratio Jan1-2015S&P500 Dividend Yield Jan1-2015

  • PE  = Price Per Earning
  • PB = Price To Book Value

Dow Jones Industrial, S&P500, NASDAQ, Russel 2000 Charts

  • INDU, SPX, COMP are still on uptrend but show short term reversal pattern.
  • RUT is trading sideway but hitting the resistance.

DJI Jan1-2015 SPX Jan1-2015NASDAQ Jan1-2015 Russell 2000 RUT Jan1-2015

Past 1 Month Sector Performance

Sector Performance Jan1-2015

 

Treasury Yield

US 5 Year Treasuy Yield Jan1-2015 US 10 Year Treasuy Yield Jan1-2015 US 30 Year Treasuy Yield Jan1-2015

 

  • If you want to understand how to conduct the above stock market analysis, how and where to find the free (and right) data from internet, how to analyse the data, how to combine all the analysis and form an own opinion to predict the stock market next moment? Check out the Fundamental Analysis Class here.
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Refinancing: Comparing Home Loans

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Guest Post: By iCompareLoan Editorial Team

2013 marked a year with an astonishing array of property rules and home mortgage regulations.
For many shoppers in the residential property market, they would have found their buying ability curbed. But not wishing to penalise home owners who had bought their properties before the new rules kicked in, the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) have announced last month a relaxation of the rules for owners who are refinancing.

So just what are the mortgage regulations affecting refinancing, and what have been revised? We present here a summary of these.

Table 1: Rules for Refinancing

With Effect From Rules
6 Oct 2012 The maximum tenure of all residential property loans for individual and non-individual borrowers will be capped at 35 years.The sum of the tenure of the re-financing facility and the number of years since the first housing loan granted to the borrower for the purchase of that residence was first disbursed, cannot exceed 35 years.
12 Jan 2013 HDB loans by FIs: A Mortgage Servicing Ratio (MSR), or percentage of total monthly mortgage obligations to gross monthly income, not exceeding 30% will apply.
29 Jun 2013 A Total Debt Servicing Ratio (TDSR), or percentage of total monthly debt obligations to gross monthly income, not exceeding 60%, will apply to all property loans granted by FIs to individuals.A mandatory interest rate of 3.5% (4.5%) p.a. or the prevailing market interest rate, whichever is higher, has to be used in the computation of MSR and TDSR for residential (non-residential) loans.Exemption from TDSR for re-financing is allowed if the borrower only owns the property he is refinancing AND do not have any other outstanding property loan.
28 Aug 2013 HDB loans by FIs: The maximum loan tenure is reduced to 30 years.The sum of the tenure of the re-financing facility and the number of years since the first housing loan granted to the borrower for the purchase of that HDB flat was first disbursed, cannot exceed 30 years.
10 Dec 2013 Executive Condominium (EC) loans by FIs: A MSR cap of 30% for refinancing within the minimum occupation period of 5 years.

Source: MAS

Table 2: Refinancing Rules That Have Been Eased From 10 February 2014

Revisions

A borrower can be exempted from the TDSR threshold if
  • the residential property is owner-occupied, AND
  • the Option to Purchase (OTP) of the residential property was granted before 29 June 2013

The MSR will not apply to the refinancing of loans for HDB flats and ECs that are

  • owner-occupied, AND
  • were purchased before their respective MSR implementation dates

The maximum loan tenure for refinancing of HDB loans and residential properties is retained as the remaining tenure of the original loan at the point of refinancing, if

  • the residential property is owner-occupied, AND
  • the Option to Purchase (OTP) of the residential property was granted before the respective implementation dates for the loan tenure limits.

For all investments property loans, the TDSR threshold will not hold for refinancing up till 30 June 2017, provided that the followings are met

  • the OTP of the property was granted before 29 June 2013;
  • the borrower commits to a debt reduction plan with the financial institution (FI) at the point of refinancing; and
  • the borrower fulfils the FI’s credit assessment.

Source: http://www.mas.gov.sg/News-and-Publications/Press-Releases/2014/MAS-Broadens-

Exemption-from-TSDR-Threshold.aspx
With interest rates expected to head north soon coupled with the loosening of refinancing mortgage rules, many owners are looking to refinance, or reprice, now. If you are one of them, read on for some information about the various types of home loans you can refinance/reprice to.

In case you are wondering what is the difference between refinancing and repricing: the former involves changing to a different financial institution whereas the latter means remaining with your current financier but changing to a different loan package.

Fixed Rate Loan

As its name suggests, a fixed rate loan has its interest rate fixed. However, in Singapore, we only have packages with rates that are fixed for the first 3 to 5 years of the loan tenure.

Typically, fixed rate packages have interest rates that are higher than a floating rate loan. After the fixed rate period ends, the interest rates will be converted to variable rates. Specifically, the interest rate will be pegged at a discount below the financing institution’s board rate or floating rate, which is based on SIBOR or SOR. Below is an example of the interest structure for a fixed rate loan:

Bank Y Fixed-rate Loan

Period

Interest Rate (p.a.)

First Year

1.20%

Second Year

1.30%

Third Year

1.45%

Fourth Year Onwards

0.50% below the Board Rate

Currently when interest rates are foreseen to ratchet up, more people are turning to fixed-rate mortgages as these provide certainty in the repayment amounts and a cap against interest-rate spikes.

Floating Rate Loan (aka Variable Rate Loan)

In contrast, a floating rate loan has its interest rates fluctuating during the entire duration of the loan.

Today’s floating (variable) interest rate loans come in three flavours:
a) Interest rates pegged at a discount below the Board Rate
b) Interest rates pegged at a margin (spread) above SIBOR (Singapore Interbank Offered Rate)
c) Interest rates pegged at a margin (spread) above SOR (Swap Offer Rate)

Financial institutions may not offer all three types, with b) being the most common. A loan pegged to SOR is less popular as it entails more uncertainty as SOR is prone to larger fluctuations being a function of exchange rates.

On the other hand, SIBOR is relatively more stable as it is the rate in which banks in Singapore lend to one another.

SIBOR and SOR are also valued for their transparency. Both are reported regularly in the mainstream media, and have various tenures. A 1-month, 3-month or 12-month tenure is more common. The longer the tenure, the higher will be the rate. However the rate remains static during the entire tenure.

Finally there is the Board Rate. This is the determined by the bank and differs across banks. It is usually unclear how the bank arrives at the Board Rate.

The interest-rate structure of a SIBOR-pegged package is shown here. After the first few years of the loan start-date, the spread is usually revised upward.

Bank Y SIBOR Loan

Period

Interest Rate (p.a.)

First Year

0.80% + 3-Month SIBOR

Second Year

0.80% + 3-Month SIBOR

Third Year

1.00% + 3-Month SIBOR

Fourth Year Onwards

1.20% + 3-Month SIBOR

With its relative stability and transparency, a SIBOR-pegged loan is highly popular during a low interest-rate environment – the interest savings a borrower can have with it far exceeds a fixed-rate loan.

Hybrid (Combo SIBOR / SOR) Loan

For borrowers undecided between a SIBOR and SOR, they can consider a package based on the average of both rates. So far, ANZ is the only bank here to offer a combo SIBOR / SOR mortgage.

Interest-rate Cap Loan

Finally for borrowers who are apprehensive of interest-rate hike but want to enjoy savings that comes with a floating rate loan, they can opt for a package with an interest-rate cap, such as the DBS Mortgage Rate Protector or POSB HDB Loan.

These loans typically have higher rates compared to conventional SIBOR-pegged packages but they provide certainty in how high rates can hit.

Bewildered by the multitude of mortgage packages on the market? Turn to the FREE service of an iCompareLoan mortgage expert today!

For advice on a new home loan.

For refinancing advice.

Download this article here.

 

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Golden Agri Resources: The Trend is still Bearish!

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No bottoming sign for Golden Agri Resources yet. The Trend is still Bearish for Golden Agri Resources. The stock is currently trading within a down trend channel.

Original post by Marubozu from My Stocks Investing Journey.

2014Dec21-Golden Agri-800x600

Current P/E Ratio (ttm) 16.4589
Estimated P/E(12/2014) 16.5198
Relative P/E vs. FSSTI 1.2514
Earnings Per Share (USD) (ttm) 0.0201
Est. EPS (USD) (12/2014) 0.0200
Est. PEG Ratio 2.2881
Market Cap (M SGD) 5,584.33
Shares Outstanding (M) 12,837.55
30 Day Average Volume 49,371,030
Price/Book (mrq) 0.4826
Price/Sale (ttm) 0.5516
Dividend Indicated Gross Yield 2.12%
Cash Dividend (SGD) 0.0041
Dividend Ex-Date 01/02/2015
5 Year Dividend Growth
Next Earnings Announcement 02/27/2015
Continue ReadingGolden Agri Resources: The Trend is still Bearish!