Is it the right time to pick up Apple AAPL?

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AAPL is getting near to 200D SMA, a very reliable support at about $587. I expect strong rebound at this level and just need to watch for a reversal candle to appear when the value investors jump into the trade.
 
 

Key Statistics for AAPL

Current P/E Ratio (ttm) 13.4293
Estimated P/E(09/2013) 11.8079
Relative P/E vs.SPX 0.9395
Earnings Per Share (USD) (ttm) 44.1600
Est. EPS (USD) (09/2013) 50.2240
Est. PEG Ratio 0.5523
Market Cap (M USD) 556,987.00
Shares Outstanding (M) 939.21
30 Day Average Volume 19,647,658
Price/Book (mrq) 4.7118
Price/Sale (ttm) 3.5413
Dividend Indicated Gross Yield 1.79%
Cash Dividend (USD) 2.6500
Last Dividend 11/07/2012
5 Year Dividend Growth
Next Earnings Announcement 01/24/2013
  • Intrinsic Value = $935 (WOW!!!).
  • 1-3 Years Growth Rate = 20% (conservative)
  • 4-10 Years Growth Rate = 15%
  • Net Operating Cash Flow = $50, 856 Million
  • Beta = 1.21
  • Discount Rate = 7%

 

Valuation Ratios

  Company Industry Sector
P/E Ratio (TTM) 13.68 12.10 21.78
P/E High – Last 5 Yrs. 20.09 21.06 52.06
P/E Low – Last 5 Yrs. 14.61 10.70 11.70
 
Beta 1.21 1.18 0.93
 
Price to Sales (TTM) 3.62 0.98 9.38
Price to Book (MRQ) 4.80 2.10 3.51
Price to Tangible Book (MRQ) 5.02 2.35 4.14
Price to Cash Flow (TTM) 12.58 10.41 11.78
Price to Free Cash Flow (TTM) 13.66 21.17 30.26

Recent Upgrade / Downgrade

24-Oct-12 Reiterated Canaccord Genuity Buy $797 → $800
13-Sep-12 Reiterated UBS Buy $740 → $780
13-Sep-12 Reiterated RBC Capital Mkts Outperform $700 → $750
13-Sep-12 Reiterated FBR Capital Outperform $675 → $725
13-Sep-12 Reiterated Deutsche Bank Buy $650 → $775
27-Aug-12 Reiterated Oppenheimer Outperform $680 → $800
22-Aug-12 Reiterated Needham Buy $620 → $750
09-Aug-12 Initiated Stifel Nicolaus Buy $825
Continue ReadingIs it the right time to pick up Apple AAPL?

OCBC Bank: Rebound!

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OCBC Bank rebounded from 200D SMA (also the $9.00 psychological support) and 61.8% Fibonacci Retracement Level today. Two reversal candlesticks pattern – Matching Low & Long Dawn Line were formed to confirm the trend reversal. Opportunity for a short Bullish Trade. Immediate resistance is $9.29 followed by $9.60.

 

Key Statistics for OCBC

Current P/E Ratio (ttm) 12.4829
Estimated P/E(12/2012) 11.0437
Relative P/E vs.FSSTI 1.0204
Earnings Per Share (SGD) (ttm) 0.7290
Est. EPS (SGD) (12/2012) 0.8240
Est. PEG Ratio 1.4250
Market Cap (M SGD) 31,215.15
Shares Outstanding (M) 3,430.24
30 Day Average Volume 2,986,333
Price/Book (mrq) 1.3199
Price/Sale (ttm) 3.8019
Dividend Indicated Gross Yield 3.41%
Cash Dividend (SGD) 0.1600
Last Dividend 08/08/2012
5 Year Dividend Growth 3.58%
Next Earnings Announcement 11/08/2012
Continue ReadingOCBC Bank: Rebound!

Three biggest Business Trusts & REITs outperform in October MTD

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During the first four weeks of October, the Straits Times Index (STI) ended essentially flat with a marginal decline of -0.09%. Over the same timeframe the Dow Jones Industrial Average declined -2.46% or -2.96% in Singapore Dollar terms. The FTSE ST All Share Index which also includes a number of Trusts in its 161 constituents also ended essentially flat with a marginal gain of +0.19% over the first four weeks of October. The total return of the FTSE ST All Share Index, which includes dividend yield, over the period was +0.27%.
 
On a total return basis, the three largest Business Trusts (BTs) and Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs), in terms of market capitalisation listed on SGX, have outperformed the STI & FTSE ST All Share Index in the month-to-date.
 
The five largest BTs listed on SGX that maintain an indicative distribution yield are:

  1. Hutchison Port Holdings Trust (USD) [NS8U], which gained +8.28% in the month-the-date. The market capitalisation of the Trust is approximately S$8.2 billion and indicative dividend yield currently 8.06%. HPHT Trust also has a SGD counter. The investor relations page can be found (Here).
     
  2. Ascendas India Trust [CY6U], which declined -1.31% in price in the month-the-date, however a dividend distribution boosted the total return of the Trust to +1.88% over the first four weeks of October. The market capitalisation of the trust is approximately S$688 million and indicative dividend yield currently 6.62%. The investor relations page can be found (Here).
     
  3. CitySpring Infrastructure Trust [A7RU] gained +3.45% in the month-the-date. The market capitalisation of the Trust is approximately S$675 million and indicative dividend yield currently 7.37%. The investor relations page can be found (Here).
     
  4. K-Green Trust [LH4U] which declined -0.49% in the month-to-date. The market capitalisation of the Trust is approximately S$639 million and indicative dividend yield currently 6.17%. The investor relations page can be found (Here).
     
  5. Perennial China Retail Trust [N9LU] which declined -1.01% in the month-to-date. The market capitalisation of the Trust is approximately S$557 million and indicative dividend yield currently 7.68%. The investor relations page can be found (Here).

 
The five largest REITs listed on SGX are:

  1. CapitaMall Trust [C38U], which gained +7.92% in the month-to-date, with dividend distributions boosting the total return to +9.12%. The market capitalisation of the REIT is approximately S$7.3 billion and indicative dividend yield currently 4.44%. The investor relations page can be found (Here).
     
  2. Ascendas REIT [A17U], which gained +2.49% in the month-to-date, with dividend distributions boosting the total return to +3.98%. The market capitalisation of the REIT is approximately S$5.5 billion and indicative dividend yield currently 5.72%. The investor relations page can be found (Here)
     
  3. CapitaCommercial Trust [C61U], which gained +5.69% in the month-to-date. The market capitalisation of the REIT is approximately S$4.5 billion and indicative dividend yield currently 5.01%. The investor relations page can be found (Here)
     
  4. Suntec REIT [T82U], which gained +7.74% in the month-to-date. The market capitalisation of the REIT is approximately S$3.6 billion and indicative dividend yield currently 5.88%. The investor relations page can be found (Here)
     
  5. Keppel REIT [K71U], which gained +2.95% in the month-to-date, with dividend distributions boosting the total return to +4.60%.  The market capitalisation of the REIT is approximately S$3.2 billion and indicative dividend yield currently 6.43%. The investor relations page can be found (Here)

 
These two types of trusts have different structures and legislative requirements. REITs are governed by the Code on Collective Investment Scheme while Business Trust legislation is governed by the Business Trust Act. One commonality of the two types of trusts is the trust objective of investing in assets that generate a pool of income to distribute to investors in the form of a yield (akin to dividend yield). In the REIT case, the Trust invests in property-related assets. In the BT case, the Trust might invest in property, infrastructure, utilities or shipping-related assets. Note not all business trusts maintain an indicative dividend yield.  More information on Trusts can be found in the Market Update section on My Gateway [click here].

 

Source: SGX My Gateway

Continue ReadingThree biggest Business Trusts & REITs outperform in October MTD