APPLE (AAPL) Fundamental and Technical Analysis

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For my team member.

  • Current Price: $373.80
  • Current PE: 17.82

Fundamental Analysis (base on FY10)

  • Gross Margin: 39.38%
  • Net Margin: 21.48%
  • ROA: 22.8%
  • ROE: 35.3%
  • Current Ratio: 2.1
  • Debt to Equity: Net Cash

 

  • Cash Flow Growth Rate (1-3 Years) = 19.35%
  • Cash Flow Growth Rate (4-10 Years) = 15% (capped)
  • Beta = 1.34
  • Discount Rate = 7%
  • Discounted Cash Flow Model Intrinsic Value = $412.98

Technical Analysis

  • Breakout from consolidation pattern and 52 weeks high resistance at $363.30.
  • Apple stock price is trading above 20D, 50D and 200D MA.
  • 20D crosses above 50D MA.
  • Need to monitor whether Apple can stay above the Immediate Support (resistance turned support) at $363.30.
  • 2nd support at about $342 (20D MA and also the resistance turned support).
  • Since Apple stock is currently under value, can start accumulating when the stock pull back to the support level (provided support is not broken).

 

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Google: Value Investing Stocks Pick

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For my stocks investing team members.

 

GOOGLE

Google Inc. (Google) is focused on improving the ways people connect with information. The Company generates revenue primarily by delivering online advertising. The Company focuses on areas, such as search, advertising, operating systems and platforms, and enterprise. The Company maintains an index of Websites and other online content, and make it available through its search engine to anyone with an Internet connection. Businesses use its AdWords program to promote their products and services with targeted advertising. The Google Network use its AdSense program to deliver relevant ads that generate revenue and enhance the user experience. In February 2010, the Company acquired Aardvark and On2 Technologies, Inc. In May 2010, The Company acquired of AdMob, Inc. (AdMob). In August 2010, the Company acquired Slide, Inc. (Slide). In December 2010, the Company acquired Widevine Technologies, Inc. (Widevine). In April 2011, the Company acquired PushLife.

  • Current Price: US$529
  • PE Ratio: 20.53
  • Net Profit Margin: 29%
  • ROE: 17.30
  • ROA: 20.68
  • Current Ratio: 4.16
  • Dividend: 0%

  

 

  • 1st resistance: $547.8 (100D MA and 78.6% Fibonacci Retracement Level)
  • 2nd resistance: $570 (200D MA)
  • 1st support: $518 (50D MA)
  • 2nd support: $504 (20D MA)
  • 3rd support: $484 (61.8% Fibonacci Retracement Level)

Plan: Target to start accumulating when Google traded between $484 to $504. Use Dollar Cost Averaging.

 

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