CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) - My Stocks Investing

Chinese New Year Bloodshed in Stock Market?

Post author:Marubozu
Post published:January 25, 2014

Dow Jones Industrial plunged more than 300 points on Friday. S&P500 and NASDAQ also dropped more than 2%. Basically ALL RED to celebrate the Chinese New Year! Is this the start of the long overdue stock market correction? Base on the stock market heatmap, looks like all sectors and worldwide stock market want to celebrate the Chinese New Year together!

Original post by Marubozu @ My Stocks Investing Journey.

Jan 24, 2014 (Friday) Market Snap Shot

Bear totally in-charged throughout the day. Bull was totally knocked out.

US Jan24-2014 Hourly Chart

All red for S&P500 Heatmap. Only Microsoft (MSFT), Kimbely-Clark (KMB) and Procter & Gamble (PG) showed gain but don’t be fooled by this + gain because they closed the day with a bearish candle.

S&P500 Heatmap Jan 24-2014

Industrial Goods sector is the worst performing sector and Utilities is the relative best performing sector. A typical pattern of a bearish market as Utilities is the defensive sector.

Sector Weekly Performance Jan24-2014

VIX jumped 31.74% to 18.14. This is a very bearish sign. If VIX does not drop in the next few sessions, expect more bloodshed in the stock market.

Only Short ETF (Bearish ETF) showed huge rally.

What is Short ETF?

ETF Jan24-2014

Worldwide Market showed all RED to celebrate the Chinese New Year.

WorldWide Jan24-2014

Is the Bear Waking Up?

Dow Jones Industrial, S&P500, NASDAQ are still on the uptrend. The 200D SMA are still sloping up and technically the market is still on up trend. However, it is important to take note that currently the stock market is at the Market Top. Anything can happen at this juncture on top of the QE tapering. So, watch the support closely and also the chart pattern. If there is formation of Head and Shoulder, the right shoulder formation is the best chance for investors to get out.

Dow Jones Jan25-2014

S&P500 Jan25-2014

NASDAQ Jan25-2014

What About Singapore Straits Time Index?

STI is trading in a Symmetrical Triangle with a critical support at 3024. This 3024 has been tested a few times (resistance turned support). More down side to come if this support is broken. Technically STI is in bearish consolidation territory and 200D SMA is sloping down now.

STI Jan24-2014

Summary

There are signs that the Bear has just woke up. It is still at early stage. The US Stock Market may be starting a little correction and continue the uptrend. Watch the support closely and trade base on what we see. This is not the good time to “hope” market can continue to go up and living in denial if we are seeing red in our portfolio. Tighten your stop loss, hedge your portfolio, prepare to cut loss or prepare to SHORT!

Wish everyone a Happy Chinese New Year but it depends on how we make decision and what we want to see in our portfolio (red or green)!

The Volatility Index (VIX) Explained

Post author:Marubozu
Post published:May 22, 2012

Definition of ‘VIX – CBOE Volatility Index’

The ticker symbol for the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) Volatility Index, which shows the market’s expectation of 30-day volatility. It is constructed using the implied volatilities of a wide range of S&P 500 index options. This volatility is meant to be forward looking and is calculated from both calls and puts. The VIX is a widely used measure of market risk and is often referred to as the “investor fear gauge”.

There are three variations of volatility indexes: the VIX tracks the S&P 500, the VXN tracks the Nasdaq 100 and the VXD tracks the Dow Jones Industrial Average.

Investopedia explains ‘VIX – CBOE Volatility Index’

The first VIX, introduced by the CBOE in 1993, was a weighted measure of the implied volatility of eight S&P 100 at-the-money put and call options. Ten years later, it expanded to use options based on a broader index, the S&P 500, which allows for a more accurate view of investors’ expectations on future market volatility. VIX values greater than 30 are generally associated with a large amount of volatility as a result of investor fear or uncertainty, while values below 20 generally correspond to less stressful, even complacent, times in the markets.

VIX REAL TIME DATA