Recent Posts - My Stocks Investing

Capitaland: Up Trend Ended

Post author:Marubozu
Post published:September 17, 2014

Capitaland up trend has ended after breaking the Rising Wedge support and breakout from Rectangle pattern. Currently Capitaland may rebound after forming Bullish Harami candlesticks. It is important to see whether $3.27 becomes a Support Turned Resistance level. Also take note that 50D SMA used to be a reliable support or resistance for Capitaland base on historical pattern.

Previous stock chart analysis of Capitaland can be found here.

SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) : Short Vertical Call Spread

Post author:Marubozu
Post published:September 13, 2014

Technical Analysis & Fundamental Analysis

S&P500 rejected at 2000 historical high and SPY rejected at 200. Technically it looks like SPY is going through a correction with short term price target at 190 (Up Trend Channel Support and also the Resistance turned Support level).

Fundamentally S&P500 is over value base on PE ratio. See PE Ration Comparison table here.

Trade Setup

Strategy: Short Term Directional Bearish Trade.
Target: $190
Short Call Spread SPY 195/200 Oct 2014 (2 contracts)
Max gain @ expiration $690
Max loss @ expiration $310
B/E @ expiration $198.44
Reward vs Risk (RoC) = 2.25
Probability OTM (short leg) = 29.42%
Profit target = $540 (at $190 support)
Exit Conditions:
- When there is a trend reversal at the support ($190)
- Break $202 resistance convincingly.
- Reach 80% of Max Profit (ie. $552)

Original Post by Marubozu My Stocks Investing Journey

Singapore REIT Fundamental Analysis Comparison Table – 7 Sept 2014

Post author:Marubozu
Post published:September 7, 2014

FTSE ST Real Estate Investment Trusts (FTSE ST REIT) Index changes from 764.31 to 775.28 compare to last post on Singapore REIT Fundamental Comparison Table on Aug 7, 2014. The index is trading above 200D SMA and still consolidating within a range between 760 and 780, a Rectangle consolidation pattern. Watch closely these two support and resistances level to see whether there is a change in trend (if 760 support is broken) or continuation of the uptrend (if 780 resistance is broken).

Price/NAV increases from 1.03 to 1.045 (slightly over value now)
Dividend Yield decreases from 6.55% to 6.46%.
Gearing Ratio increases from 33.17% to 33.42%
IREIT Global traded on the Singapore Stock Exchange on Aug 13, 2014. (Opened $0.88 and closed at $0.895)
Added IREIT Global.

Singapore Interest Rate

Singapore 3 Months SIBOR

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Under Watchlist

One of the key criteria for my watch list is the Gearing Ratio due to my low risk appetite. I do not like to have heart attack because I want my invested capital to be protected and prevent me from suffering a big drop due to right placement. In addition, a sudden hike in interest will have a knee jerk effect on the REIT with high gearing ratio.

If you want to find out how to make use of Gearing Ratio to protect your invested capital, how to invest safely in Singapore REIT to generate passive income, how the interest rate can affect your REIT investment, you can check out the a very pragmatic and educational public seminar here “Investing in Singapore REIT“.

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