S&P500 ETF (SPY): Expect Correction

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S&P500 ETF (SPY) is currently trading within an uptrend channel but expecting to retrace after hitting the channel resistance.

Current PE for Russell 2000 is 18.2 (over value).

Base on past SPY chart pattern, it is not so easy to trade due to the following:

  • SPY is at historical high, it is risky to long at high.
  • It is also risky to short at the current level because SPY is still on uptrend. It will be a counter trend trade if short at this level.

SPY Dec1-2014

Original post from My Stocks Investing Journey by Marubozu.

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Russel 2000 ETF (IWM): Trend Reversal!

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Russel 2000 ETF (IWM) showed a Three Outside Down, reversal pattern, after getting near to the all time high level. Watch out for a start of down trend. 200D SMA support is at $114.

Current PE for Russell 2000 is 50.41 (over value).

Base on past IWM chart pattern, IWM has nice tradeable pattern in two directions (up trend and down trend).

IWM Dec1-2014

Original post from My Stocks Investing Journey by Marubozu.

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Thanks Giving Day: Crude Oil Futures drop more than 10%. Big Trouble Ahead?

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This is abnormal! Crude Oil drops more than 10% when everyone is complacent and on holiday mode.  Stock Market keeps going up but Treasury Yield keep dropping. Next week will be a very good lesson for all the retail investors!

Crude Oil Nov 29-2014 Futures Nov29-2014

  • Retail investors have NO chance to run if there is a sudden drop in the share price. Big guys still can trade “after trading hours”.
  • Stock Market can be manipulated and give everyone an illusion but something already happening quietly somewhere. Check the Yield Curve!

Treasury Yield Nov 29-2014

Sit tight and watch the show!

To those retail investors and newbies who believe into those “Get Rich Quick” class and believe it is very easy to make money from the stock market by just copying someone’s proprietary trading system, please think twice! There is no free lunch in this world because even Warren Buffet and Carl Ichan can lose huge money in the stock market.

Carl Icahn loss money Warran Buffet IBM Loss

 

Continue ReadingThanks Giving Day: Crude Oil Futures drop more than 10%. Big Trouble Ahead?