Recent Posts - My Stocks Investing

Stock Market in RED! Is It Time to Short the Fear?

Post author:Marubozu
Post published:October 11, 2014

Original Post by Marubozu My Stocks Investing Journey

DIA, SPY, QQQ and IWM all broke the support last Friday and VIX hit almost 2 Years high at 21.24!

However, DIA, SPY and QQQ are still not in technically bearish territory yet as they are still above the 200D SMA (trending up). Only IWM is officially in the down trend. Watch out for a technical rebound at 200D SMA.

Looking at the VIX past 2 years pattern, the Fear will not last forever if there is a rebound at 200D SMA support. It is a high winning probability trade by shorting VIX at this level.

Healthcare, Consumer Goods & Utilities (Defensive sectors) are the better performing sectors relatively in the last one month. Technology & Basic Material are the worst performing sector. This is a typical sectors pattern in the bear market. Beware of the Big Bear Awakening!

Plenty of Trading Opportunities during the recent sell down:

Short Call Spread on DIA, SPY, QQQ or IWM (after breaking the support)
Short Call Spread on VIX
Short Put Spread for DIA, SPY or QQQ (when rebound from 200D SMA)
Iron Condor (Sell Volatility)

Disclaimer: This is NOT the recommendation or trading tips. This post is for own analysis only.

Global Stock Market Indices PE Ratio At a Glance (11 Oct 2014)

Post author:Marubozu
Post published:October 11, 2014

Market Indices PE Ratio for Major Stock Exchange globally.

US: Dow Jones Industrial, S&P500, NASDAQ, Russell 2000
Europe: FTSE100, CAC40, DAX
Asia: KLCI, STI, HangSeng, ASX200, CSI 300, JCI, SET, KOPSI, NIKKEI 225, SENSEX, TWSE, NZX50, PSEi

Average PE ratio decreases from 25 to 20.89 due to the past 2 weeks global stock market sell down. This correction is long over due and there are already tons of warning sign base on technical analysis and stock market valuation. RED ALERT for NASDAQ with PE of 56.74 and RUSSELL 2000 of 51.65!

See Sept 2014 Global Stock Market PE Ratio here.

PE = Price Per Earning
PB = Price To Book Value
Want to Learn More about how to value the stock market using PE Ratio or PB Ratio? Check out the Fundamental Analysis Class here.

Hedging Pair: UOB vs OCBC

Post author:Marubozu
Post published:October 6, 2014

Establishing the correlation for UOB and OCBC as part of the Hedging Strategy for Singapore Stocks. Performance Charts with reference to Mar 9, 2009.

Original Post by Marubozu My Stocks Investing Journey

UOB (United Overseas Bank)

Current P/E Ratio (ttm)	11.8255
Estimated P/E(12/2014)	11.8542
Relative P/E vs. FSSTI	0.8722
Earnings Per Share (SGD) (ttm)	1.8976
Est. EPS (SGD) (12/2014)	1.8930
Est. PEG Ratio	1.5101
Market Cap (M SGD)	35,934.34
Shares Outstanding (M)	1,601.35
30 Day Average Volume	1,441,033
Price/Book (mrq)	1.2791
Price/Sale (ttm)	3.8184
Dividend Indicated Gross Yield	3.12%
Cash Dividend (SGD)	0.2000
Dividend Ex-Date	08/18/2014
5 Year Dividend Growth	4.56%
Next Earnings Announcement	10/30/2014

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OCBC (Oversea-Chinese Banking Corp)

Current P/E Ratio (ttm)	10.6491
Estimated P/E(12/2014)	11.0556
Relative P/E vs. FSSTI	0.7854
Earnings Per Share (SGD) (ttm)	0.9146
Est. EPS (SGD) (12/2014)	0.8810
Est. PEG Ratio	1.2353
Market Cap (M SGD)	38,272.55
Shares Outstanding (M)	3,929.42
30 Day Average Volume	5,418,767
Price/Book (mrq)	1.3712
Price/Sale (ttm)	3.5868
Dividend Indicated Gross Yield	3.49%
Cash Dividend (SGD)	0.1750
Dividend Ex-Date	08/25/2014
5 Year Dividend Growth	4.56%
Next Earnings Announcement	10/30/2014