ASCOTT REIT: High Gearing & Down Trend

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ASCOTT REIT has just broken the support at $1.19 and continue the down trend in a down trend channel. ASCOTT REIT is over value base on NAV and has high gearing ratio of 41.1%.

Be extremely careful of the interest rate hike and right issue.

See other Singapore REIT comparison table here.

Personally I see totally NO reasons to invest in this ASCOTT REIT base on Fundamental Analysis, Technical Analysis and Monetary Policy. I would like to hear from you if anyone see things different in this REIT.

ASCOTT REIT Dec13-2013

 

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OCBC: Hammer at Support!

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OCBC formed a hammer at 38.2% (61.8%) Fibonacci support with a confirmation candle. RSI is oversold. My Technical Analysis class students should know what does it mean. Draw a 0%-100%-61.8% Fibonacci Level to derive the price target of this retracement.

Take note that OCBC has just started a new down trend after breaking down from a Symmetrical Triangle. There may be a swing trade opportunity if a down trend channel is formed. Price target of this Symmetrical Triangle breakout is $8.85. Good luck!

Original post by Marubozu My Stock Investing Journey

2013Dec13-OCBC Bk-800x600

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Singapore REIT Fundamental Analysis Comparison Table – 12 Dec 2013

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FTSE ST Real Estate Investment Trusts (FTSE ST REIT) Index changes from 740.76 to 693.59 compare to last post on Singapore REIT Fundamental Comparison Table on Nov 9, 2013. The index is trading below 200D SMA and technically bearish. Currently the index is just sitting on the previous low support. More down side expected if the support is broken. Fundamentally there is still a fear of interest hike in near future which dampen the investment sentiment in REIT.

FTSE ST REIT Index Dec12-2013

Compare to last Singapore REIT comparison table:

Added VIVA Industrial Trust in the table.

  • Price/NAV drops from 1.0213 to 0.9748. (More yellow in the table now –> More REIT is under value now)
  • Dividend Yield increases from  6.15% to 6.50%. (Yield is getting more attractive)
  • Gearing Ratio increases from 32.92% to 33.34%.
  • In general, most Singapore REIT is slightly under value now and the distribution yield is getting attractive. However technically Singapore REIT is in the bearish territory and going to drop further if the support (FTSE ST REIT Index Chart) is broken. So don’t be ignorant to think this is the time to buy REIT yet as the price can drop further.  The uncertainty in term of interest hike in near future remains high as Federal is getting very close to start QE tapering after a series of good economy data in US. If you are still holding REIT at the moment, you need to have a strong heart to handle the potential new drop in your REIT. Good Luck!
  • See Bubble Charts: Risk Prevention & Value Pick.

Singapore REIT NAV Gearing Distribution Yield Comparison Table 12-Dec-2013

Find out how do I conduct research on Singapore REIT, how I color code and interpret those financial ratio in the comparison table, and why am I NOT touching any REIT at the moment although some REITs are undervalue. Find out WHERE and HOW to read the FTSE ST Real Estate Investment Trust Index because timing is very critical in making any investment decision.  Check out my next public tutorial on  “How to pick Singapore REIT for Dividend Investing” .

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