Is it Good time to bet on FXI iShares FTSE/Xinhua China 25 Index (ETF) ?

  • Post author:

Looks like China economy has bottomed up and slowly recovering. Both PMI and FXI are telling some bullish stories.

A few bullish signals on FXI chart:

  • FXI has broken the resistance of $39.33.
  • FXI is trading above 20D, 50D and 200D SMA.
  • FXI is showing “Higher High, Higher Low” uptrend pattern.
  • FXI is showing a nice Elliott Wave.
  • FXI broke out from A Rising Wedge.
Things to Watch:
  • Need to wait for FXI to retrace back to about $40 to test the resistance turned support level.
  • $40 is an entry level for a bullish trade. (Buy on Dip on an uptrend strategy).

FXI is iShares FTSE/Xinhua China 25 Index (ETF).

Top Holdings* as of 1/3/2013

NAME % OF FUND
CHINA MOBILE LTD 9.71%
CHINA CONSTRUCTION BANK-H 8.80%
IND & COMM BK OF CHINA-H 8.01%
CNOOC LTD 6.77%
BANK OF CHINA LTD-H 5.94%
CHINA PACIFIC INSURANCE GR-H 4.26%
CHINA LIFE INSURANCE CO-H 4.25%
PING AN INSURANCE GROUP CO-H 4.20%
CHINA SHENHUA ENERGY CO-H 4.07%
CHINA PETROLEUM & CHEMICAL-H 3.97%
Total 59.98%

The latest published Manufacturing PMI on Dec 31 is 50.6; a consecutive 2 months expansion.

 

HSBC Final Manufacturing PMI 51.5 show the similar 2 months expansion.
Note: PMI is economy leading indicator. 
Continue ReadingIs it Good time to bet on FXI iShares FTSE/Xinhua China 25 Index (ETF) ?

Capitaland: Time to Take Profit?

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Capitaland has been on a nice up trend since Mid May and exhibit on a nice Elliott Wave pattern. Currently Capitaland has reached its NAV (P/B = 1.0008) and its PE ratio show that Capitaland is at its fair value and no longer under value. Base on Fibonacci Extension to 161.8% FR, the price target is $3.60. Currently Capitaland has hit the uptrend channel resistance and also the Fibonacci Fan resistance. Expect a pull back from this level in the few days. Capitaland has been the lucky star for me as I have profited 3x trading this Elliott Wave pattern (all bullish trades).  A pat on the back!

  1. $2.65 to $2.96
  2. $3.18 to $3.25
  3. $3.32 to $3.45
Will wait for the pull back to $3.32 (up trend channel support & 123.6% FR) to decide whether I have the 4th time lucky trading this stock.

 

 

Key Statistics for CAPL

Current P/E Ratio (ttm) 13.1227
Estimated P/E(12/2012) 25.2143
Relative P/E vs. FSSTI 1.1204
Earnings Per Share (SGD) (ttm) 0.2690
Est. EPS (SGD) (12/2012) 0.1400
Est. PEG Ratio 0.9849
Market Cap (M SGD) 15,005.14
Shares Outstanding (M) 4,250.75
30 Day Average Volume 9,645,900
Price/Book (mrq) 1.0008
Price/Sale (ttm) 4.6142
Dividend Indicated Gross Yield 1.70%
Cash Dividend (SGD) 0.0600
Last Dividend 05/07/2012
5 Year Dividend Growth -3.12%
Next Earnings Announcement 02/14/2013
Continue ReadingCapitaland: Time to Take Profit?

Capitaland: Uptrend Still Intact But Watch the Support!

  • Post author:

Capitaland is still on the uptrend channel but there are critical levels to watch. These two levels are extremely critical because it will change the wave count in the Elliott Wave pattern.

  • $3.15: Previous Support Turned Resistance. If Capitaland goes back above this level in the next few days, Wave 5 (bullish) still in action.
  • $3.10: Uptrend Channel Support + 20D SMA. If Capitaland breaks this support, Wave A (bearish) starts.

 

Previous analysis on Capitaland – Elliott Wave.

Continue ReadingCapitaland: Uptrend Still Intact But Watch the Support!