Walt Disney (DIS): Breakout to Start Up Trend

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Walt Disney (DIS) broke out from the $67.89 resistance recently and retested this resistance turned support level to start an uptrend where a “Higher High, Higher Low” uptrend channel is formed. DIS also show a Fibonacci Expansion pattern (0%-100%-61.8%) with price target at 161.8% FR level of $80.73.

DIS Chart

DIS Nov 17-2013

Chart from thinkorswim, get FREE chart here.

DIS Fundamental

DIS Fundamental Nov 7-2013

DIS Intrinsic Value

  • Operating Cash Flow = $9,452 Million
  • No of Shares outstanding = 1.79 Billion
  • Beta = 1.29
  • Discount Rate = 7%
  • Conservative Growth (12% for next 10 years), IV = $68.6
  • Moderate Growth (14.4% for next 10 years), IV = $76.62
  • High Growth Rate (17% for next 10 years). IV = $84.71

Check out here if you want to learn about Fundamental Analysis and how to calculate Intrinsic Value using Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model.

Original post by Marubozu from My Stocks Investing Journey.

Continue ReadingWalt Disney (DIS): Breakout to Start Up Trend

Apple (AAPL): Start Up Trend

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AAPL has broken the $510 resistance and currently trading in an uptrend. An “Higher High, Higher Low” up trend channel has been formed. In addition, AAPL is following a Fibonacci Expansion pattern and probably heading toward the price target of $587 (161.8% Fibonacci Retracement Level). So far the 61.8% Fibonacci Fans is providing a good support.

Check previous AAPL’s fundamental analysis and Intrinsic Value here.

Check out here if you want to learn about Fundamental Analysis and how to calculate Intrinsic Value using Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model.

AAPL Nov17-2013

Chart from thinkorswim, get FREE chart here.

Continue ReadingApple (AAPL): Start Up Trend

Noble Group: Bull is back!

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All signs are showing Noble Group is going to start a bullish uptrend.

  • Noble Group has cleared the previous support turned resistance of Descending Triangle of $1.04.
  • Noble Group has cleared the 200D SMA resistance and trading above all the 3 Moving Averages.
  • Noble Group is trading in an uptrend channel.
  • Morning Doji Star (or Bullish Abandoned Baby) rebounded at up trend channel support and 100% FR support.
  • Noble Group is fitting the Fibonacci Retracement Level (0%, 61.8%, 100%, 161.8%) very nicely.
  • Noble Group will be heading towards 261.8% Fibonacci Retracement level at about $1.25 IF
    • Stay above $1.04 and this becomes a reliable support.
    • Clear $1.06 resistance (161.8% FR)
    • Uptrend still intact (higher high, higher low)

However, the whole bullish scenario will be void if Noble Group goes below $1.04 and the 200D SMA become resistance.

2013Nov6-Noble Group

 

Original analysis by Marubozu @ My Stocks Investing Journey.

WATCH OUT Earning release on Nov 12, 2013.

Key Statistics for NOBL

Current P/E Ratio (ttm) 23.5758
Estimated P/E(12/2013) 15.1685
Relative P/E vs. FSSTI 1.7251
Earnings Per Share (USD) (ttm) 0.0360
Est. EPS (USD) (12/2013) 0.0560
Est. PEG Ratio 1.0112
Market Cap (M SGD) 6,991.81
Shares Outstanding (M) 6,627.31
30 Day Average Volume 26,622,270
Price/Book (mrq) 1.0964
Price/Sale (ttm) 0.0578
Dividend Indicated Gross Yield 2.13%
Cash Dividend (USD) 0.0181
Dividend Ex-Date 05/14/2013
5 Year Dividend Growth 0.53%
Next Earnings Announcement 11/12/2013
Continue ReadingNoble Group: Bull is back!