Singapore REIT Fundamental Analysis Comparison Table – 2 August 2015

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FTSE ST Real Estate Investment Trusts (FTSE ST REIT Index) decreases from 781.09 to 752.6 (-3.65%) compare to last post on Singapore REIT Fundamental Comparison Table on July 1, 2015. The index has broken down from the 200D SMA support and it is a confirmed down trend.  Immediate resistance at 770. Expect more down side in coming months.

FTSE ST REIT Index Aug2-2015

Learn how to conduct Trend Analysis here.

  • Price/NAV decreases from 1.03 to 1.00.  (Singapore REIT in at fair value now)
  • Distribution Yield increases from 6.61% to 6.84% (take note that this is lagging number)
  • Gearing Ratio reduces from 34.08% to 34.02%.
  • Most overvalue is Ascendas iTrust (Price/NAV = 1.46) followed by Parkway Life (Price/NAV = 1.45).
  • Most undervalue is OUE Commercial Trust (Price/NAV = 0.64), followed by Fortune REIT (Price/NAV = 0.67).
  • Higher Distribution Yield is VIVA Industrial Trust (9.45%) followed by iREIT Global (9.07%). Note: High Distribution Yield does not mean it is safe REIT for investment. Don’t invest purely base on the Yield % because it is wrong thing to do without knowing the reasons.
  • Highest Gearing Ratio is Croesus Retail Trust (50.4%) followed by Keppel REIT (42.6%)

Grab an insight of the REIT class here 3 Tips To Increasing Returns On REITs Investments

Check out the very pragmatic and educational public seminar here “Investing in Singapore REIT“.

Singapore-REIT-Fundamental-Analysis-and-Comparison-Table-2-Aug-2015

 

Singapore Interest Rate Aug2-2015SIBOR Aug2-2015

 

  • Singapore Interest Rate increase from 0.39% to 1.01% (a huge spike in one month!).
  • 1 month increases from 0.69688% to 0.75916%
  • 3 month increases from 0.82100% to 0.87858%
  • 6 month increases from 0.88374% to 0.93858%
  • 12 month increases from 1.01367% to 1.06358%

A huge spike in Singapore Interest rate and a down trend in FTSE ST Real Estate Investment Trust Index may scare off some investors. Base on the trend analysis from the stock chart, there are weakness in Hospitality and Commercial Trust, but Retail Mall and Healthcare are still holding well. The current correction of Singapore REITs present a good opportunity to pick up some fundamental strong REITs for long term passive income investing. Wait for the moment of “Movement in Sympathy” of REIT sell off when the interest rate hike and prepare for shopping list! The key question is which REIT to put into watchlist and When is the right time to buy.

Check out all Singapore REITs Chart Here.

 

 

 

 

 

Continue ReadingSingapore REIT Fundamental Analysis Comparison Table – 2 August 2015

Singapore REIT Fundamental Analysis Comparison Table – 1 July 2015

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FTSE ST Real Estate Investment Trusts (FTSE ST REIT Index) decreases from 795.76 to 781.09 compare to last post on Singapore REIT Fundamental Comparison Table on June 1, 2015. The index has broken down from the 200D SMA support and trading below 20D/50D/200D SMA. Down trend has been started for Singapore REITs in general as “Lower Low, Lower High” chart pattern is formed.  Immediate resistance at 785. Take note that the index has broken the Head and Shoulder neckline support. This is a trend reversal pattern.

Learn Stock Chart Pattern and Technical Analysis here.

FTSE ST REIT Index July1-2015

  • Price/NAV decreases from 1.05 to 1.03.  (Singapore REIT in general slightly overvalue)
  • Distribution Yield increases from 6.48% to 6.61% (take note that this is lagging number)
  • Gearing Ratio remains at 34.08%
  • Most overvalue REIT is Parkway Life (Price/NAV = 1.37), followed by FIRST REIT  (Price/NAV = 1.36). Both Healthcare REIT, Defensive in nature.
  • Most undervalue REIT is Fortune REIT (Price/NAV = 0.66), followed by OUE Commercial Trust (Price/NAV = 0.74).
  • Higher Distribution Yield is VIVA Industrial Trust (9.54%) followed by Lippo Mall Trust (8.66%). Note: High Distribution Yield does not mean it is safe REIT for investment. Don’t invest purely base on the Yield % because it is wrong thing to do without knowing the reasons.
  • Highest Gearing Ratio is Croesus Retail Trust (50.4%) followed by VIVI Industrial Trust (43.4%)

Grab an insight of the REIT class here 3 Tips To Increasing Returns On REITs Investments

Check out the very pragmatic and educational public seminar here “Investing in Singapore REIT“.

Singapore-REIT-Fundamental-Analysis-and-Comparison-Table-1-Jul-2015

Singapore Interest Rate July1-2015SIBOR July1-2015

  • Singapore Interest Rate increase from 0.22% to 0.39%.
  • 1 month decreases from 0.70696% to 0.69688%
  • 3 month decreases from 0.82955% to 0.82100%
  • 6 month decreases from 0.88909% to 0.88374%
  • 12 month decreases from 1.01839% to 1.01367%

We have finished the month of June but US Federal Reserve still has not increased the interest rate yet. Interest hike will affect the borrowing cost, it is time for all the Investors to review your current investment portfolio and debt profile. Plan the next step before the day comes because it will affect your investment and loan monthly installment. Take initiative to evaluate your current mortgage loan and work on Refinance Plan before the mortgage loan interest shot up even further.

 

 

Continue ReadingSingapore REIT Fundamental Analysis Comparison Table – 1 July 2015

FTSE ST Real Estate Investment Trust Index – Warning Sign or Good Time to Buy?

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FTSE ST Real Estate Investment Trust Index has formed a Head and Shoulder and broke the neckline and 200D SMA support! This is a strong warning sign that the trend of Singapore REITs will reverse to down trend. Suggest retail investors to pull out the charts of your current REIT portfolio to decide the next steps.

FTSE ST REIT Index June9-2015 (1 Year)FTSE ST REIT Index June9-2015 (3 Years)

There are a few things retail investors can do.

  1. Do nothing. – If you bought the stocks at high, be prepared to suffer capital loss for a period of time. If you bought at low, be prepared to watch your capital gain erodes.
  2. Sell – If you bought at high, you may decide to cut loss. Do take note that the stock price can go even lower when the down trend starts and you will suffer more capital loss than the dividend gain. If you bought at low, you may consider to take profit.
  3. Hedge by Short Selling – If you bought the stocks at low and enjoying good dividend payout but you don’t want to sell, you can hedge your current REIT portfolio by short selling.
  4. Prepare to buy – If you have done your homework identifying fundamental strong Singapore REIT, this is a good buying opportunity but make sure you don’t buy when the stock price is on the down trend. Wait for the stocks to bottom up and show reversal trend. Make sure you know how to identify the trend reversal using Technical Analysis.
  5. Use HOPE Analysis – This is a NO-NO. If you use HOPE in your stock investing, that means you do not know what is investing is all about. Suggest you equip yourself with sufficient financial knowledge before throwing your hard earned money into stock market.

For record purpose, it was a fierce sell off today in Singapore REIT especially with the big market capitalization.

Singapore REIT sell down June 9-2015

See other relevant posts here:

Continue ReadingFTSE ST Real Estate Investment Trust Index – Warning Sign or Good Time to Buy?