Starhill Global REIT: Under Watchlist

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Fundamental Analysis of Starhill Global REIT:

Starhill Global Portfolio by Countries June14-2014Starhill Global Occupancy Rate June14-2014Starhill Global Tenant Mix June14-2014Starhill Global WALE June14-2014

 

WADB June 16-2014

Technically Starhill Global REIT is trading in a Rectangle and range bound between $0.755 and $0.845.

2014June14-Starhill Gbl-800x600

Compare with other Singapore REITs, Starhill Global is traded at a 12% discount to NAV with Distribution yield at 6.21%. Fundamentally this REIT is attractive in terms of Price/NAV, Distribution Yield and Gearing Ratio. However, technically the chart is moving sideway and looks like this REIT is going through a retracement currently. A much more attractive entry level is to wait for Starhill Global to retrace back to the Rectangle support at about $0.755. The yield at this price is about 6.5% with Price / NAV about 0.82 (18% discount to NAV). A little concern over the WADB as about 30% debt is going to mature in 2015 and Starhill Global REIT may need to refinance at a higher interest rate, thus impact the DPU.

I will be covering the above analysis  method in my Singapore REIT Investing public workshop, I strongly suggest you to sign up and understand how to do a proper analysis (Fundamental Analysis, Risk Assessment, Technical Analysis) on the REIT before throwing the money into stock market by selecting the wrong REIT and investing in the wrong time.

 

 

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Singapore REIT Fundamental Analysis Comparison Table – 8 June 2014

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FTSE ST Real Estate Investment Trusts (FTSE ST REIT) Index changes from 755.37 to 768.55 compare to last post on Singapore REIT Fundamental Comparison Table on May 9, 2014. The index is trading above 20D/ 50D/ 200D SMA with 20D/50D SMA trending up. This is an official uptrend for Singapore REITs.

FTSE ST REIT Index June8-2014

..

  • Price/NAV increases from 1.0022 to 1.0229
  • Dividend Yield decreases from  6.61% to 6.51%.
  • Gearing Ratio decreases from 33.76% to 32.94%
  • Added: Realigare HTrust.
  • Added two columns (Price/NAV High & Low). To my REIT workshop participant, I have uploaded the excel spreadsheet to the Facebook closed group.

Singapore REIT Fundamental Analysis and Comparison Table 8-June-2014

  • In general (base on quantitative analysis and technical analysis), Singapore REIT is at fair value now and the distribution yield is attractive (but with risks). A number of REITs have started a confirmed uptrend base on trend analysis (using Technical Analysis). Buy on Dip can be a good accumulation strategy here for fundamentally strong REIT (well managed WADM & WALE, Diversified Tenant Mix, currency risk, AEI and acquisition to increase DPU, currency hedging).
  • Be extremely careful with those REITs with High Yield. High Yield does NOT mean that it is a good REIT to invest. Religare HTrust offers 9.1% yield but the risk is very high with super low gearing at 7.3%.  It looks very attractive just purely base on the numbers but we still have to do the risk assessment in detail.  I have posted my personal view and Risk Assessment in my Facebook Closed Group for my students. Ex-students who wish to join the facebook page please drop me an email marubozu@mystocksinvesting.com. State your name and your course date so that I can add you into the page.
  • Find out in  the next workshop on “How to pick Singapore REIT for Dividend Investing” to learn how to do Quantitative, Qualitative Analysis and Risk Assessment Plus Identify the Trend on Singapore REITs to apply this accumulation strategy for Singapore REIT.
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Global Stock Market Indices PE Ratio At a Glance (7 June 2014)

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Market Indices PE Ratio for Major Stock Exchange globally.

  • US: Dow Jones Industrial, S&P500, NASDAQ, Russell 2000
  • Europe: FTSE100, CAC40, DAX
  • Asia: KLCI, STI, HangSeng, ASX200, CSI 300, JCI, SET, KOPSI, NIKKEI 225, SENSEX, TWSE, NZX50, PSEi

Average PE ratio increases from 21.23  to 23.18 where Dow Jones Industrial, S&P500 and NASDAQ broke new high. P/B Ratio increase from 2.04 to 2.12.

Stock Market Key Indices PE Ratio June7-2014

May 2014 Month Global PE Ratio.

See the compilation of Monthly Global Stock Market here.

S&P500 PB Ratio June7-2014Shiller PE Ratio June7-2014

 

  • PE  = Price Per Earning
  • PB = Price To Book Value
  • Want to Learn More about how to value the stock market using PE Ratio or PB Ratio? Check out the Fundamental Analysis Class here.
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