US Stocks - My Stocks Investing

iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM): Rebound from Support

Post author:Marubozu
Post published:October 5, 2014

iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) rebounded from an important support at 108 with Piercing Pattern.

Original Post by Marubozu My Stocks Investing Journey

Trade Setup

Strategy: Short Term Directional Bullish Trade.
Target: $113-$114
Short Put Spread IWM 108/112 Oct 2014 (2 contracts)
Max gain @ expiration $496
Max loss @ expiration $309
B/E @ expiration $109.52
Reward vs Risk (RoC) = 1.61
Probability OTM (short leg) = 63.25%
Profit target = $373 (at $114 200D SMA resistance)
Exit Conditions:
- When there is a reversal pattern at the resistance ($114)
- Break $108 support convincingly.
- Reach 80% of Max Profit (ie. $396)

SPY: Sell off but still on Up Trend

Post author:Marubozu
Post published:September 28, 2014

SPY (SPDR S&P500 ETF) has a very volatile week and has a huge sell off across the sectors. However technically SPY is still trading within an uptrend channel. SPY rebounded from the 50D SMA support on last Friday. Keep an eye of this 50D SMA and uptrend support (194-195 region) in the coming weeks. Take note that Window Dressing and Portfolio Pumping/Dumping at Sept Quarter End.

As we are moving into Oct, be extremely cautious on the October effect.

See last analysis on SPY.

iPhone 6 Launch Impact on Apple (AAPL) Stock Price

Post author:Marubozu
Post published:September 20, 2014

iPhone6 Impact on AAPL.

Technically AAPL chart is trading within an uptrend channel. All 3 moving averages are still trending up.

Fundamentally AAPL is still solid with forward PE only 14.18.

AAPL Sept20-2014 FA

AAPL Intrinsic Value

Operating Cash Flow = $56,371 Million
No of Shares outstanding = 6 Billion
Beta = 0.87
Discount Rate = 6%
No Growth (0% for next 10 years), IV = $69.15
Conservative Growth (5% for next 10 years), IV = $89.21
Moderate Growth (10% for next 10 years), IV = $115.83
Aggressive Growth Rate (15% for next 10 years). IV = $151.14

Last AAPL intrinsic value calculation using DCF method.

Fundamentally & Technically AAPL looks attractive with current price level.

Check out the Fundamental Analysis Class here if you want to understand how to analyse those Financial Ratio & calculate Intrinsic Value to determine whether the stock is good for investing, learn how to identify whether the stock is on uptrend, and more importantly, where to find important and free information from the internet to do your own research.