Global Stock Market Indices PE Ratio At a Glance (4 April 2015)

Post author:Marubozu
Post published:April 4, 2015

Market Indices PE Ratio for Major Stock Exchange globally

US: Dow Jones Industrial, S&P500, NASDAQ, Russell 2000
Europe: FTSE100, CAC40, DAX
Asia: KLCI, STI, HangSeng, ASX200, CSI 300, JCI, SET, KOPSI, NIKKEI 225, SENSEX, TWSE, NZX50, PSEi

Dow Jones Industrial, S&P500 and NASDAQ are in the sideway consolidation mode but still above 200D SMA. Average PE ratio no change at 21.17. Most of the stock market now are overvalue now. Watch out for the seasonal pattern – Sell in May and Go away. VIX closed at 14.67 for Mar 2015.

See Feb 2015 Global Stock Market PE Ratio here.

PE = Price Per Earning
PB = Price To Book Value

Dow Jones Industrial, S&P500, NASDAQ, Russel 2000 Charts

INDU, SPX, COMP are still on uptrend but showing dangerous reversal chart pattern. Currently INDU & SPX are forming multiple tops; COMP is showing Double Tops pattern.
RUT broke out from the Rectangle and starts an new up trend.

DJI April3-2015 SPX April3-2015 NASDAQ April3-2015

Past 1 Month Sector Performance

Treasury Yield

US 5 Year Treasuy Yield April3-2015 US 10 Year Treasuy Yield April3-2015

Yield Curve

If you want to understand how to conduct the above stock market analysis, how and where to find the free (and right) data from internet, how to analyse the data, how to combine all the analysis to form an own opinion to predict the stock market next moment? How to use the Yield Curve to anticipate the stock market movement. Check out the Fundamental Analysis Class here.

Apple (AAPL): Short Term Consolidation

Post author:Marubozu
Post published:April 4, 2015

Apple (AAPL) is currently consolidating in a Descending Triangle. Immediate support is at the 120-122 zone. In general, the trend is still up for AAPL.

AAPL Intrinsic Value

Operating Cash Flow (TTM) = $70,765 Million
No of Shares outstanding = 5.8 Billion
Beta = 0.81
Discount Rate = 6%
Long Term Debt (TTM) = $28.9 B
No Growth (0% for next 10 years), IV = $84.8
Conservative Growth (5% for next 10 years), IV = $110.86
Moderate Growth (10% for next 10 years), IV = $145.43
Aggressive Growth Rate (15% for next 10 years). IV = $191.28

See last AAPL Intrinsic Value Analysis here.

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Singapore REIT Fundamental Analysis Comparison Table – 3 April 2015

Post author:Marubozu
Post published:April 3, 2015

FTSE ST Real Estate Investment Trusts (FTSE ST REIT) Index increases from 805.26 to 812.05 compare to last post on Singapore REIT Fundamental Comparison Table on Mar 1, 2015. The index is continuing the uptrend after retraced to test 790-795 as support. Long term trend for Singapore REIT is bullish base on the chart pattern of this ST REIT index as the 200D SMA is trending up. Immediate resistance at about 820.

FTSE ST REIT Index April3-2015

Price/NAV no change at 1.07 (Singapore REIT in general slightly overvalue)
Distribution Yield increases from 6.48% to 6.49%.
Gearing Ratio no change at 33.82%.

Singapore REIT Bubble Charts – Value Selection and Risk Prevention.

Singapore-REIT-Fundamental-Analysis-and-Comparison-Table-4-Apr-2015 Singapore Interest Rate April3-2015

Singapore Interest Rate spikes to 0.39% and retrace back to 0.34%.
1 month increases from 0.61669% to 0.88116% (42% increase!)
3 month increases from 0.68138% to 1.01959% (49% increase!)
6 month increases from 0.74182% to 1.07680% (45% increase!)
12 month increases from 0.87509% to 1.16689% (33% increase!)

Singapore Interest Rate and SIBOR continue to rise. Not a good sign for REIT which have high gearing ratio because there may be increase in borrowing cost depends on the debt expiry profile. Besides REIT, It is also time to seriously evaluate your current mortgage loan and work on Refinance Plan before the mortgage loan interest shot up even further.

Grab an insight of the REIT class here 3 Tips To Increasing Returns On REITs Investments

Check out the very pragmatic and educational public seminar here “Investing in Singapore REIT“.