Suntec REIT Fundamental and Technical Analysis

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Suntec REIT Fundamental Analysis

Base on Suntec REIT Q1FY15 Quarterly Earning Presentation

  • Last Price = $1.75
  • NAV = $2.085
  • Price / NAV = 0.8393
  • Price / NAV (High) = 0.97
  • Price / NAV (Low) = 0.73
  • Distribution Yield = 5.168%
  • Gearing Ratio = 34.8%
  • Occupancy Rate (Office) = 99.6%
  • Occupancy Rate (Retail) = 93.5%
  • Overall Occupancy = 93.6%
  • WADM = 3.39 Years

Suntec REIT DPU History June12-2015 Suntec REIT Office Lease June12-2015 Suntec REIT Retail Lease June12-2015 Suntec REIT WADM June10-2015

See last Suntec REIT Fundamental Analysis here.

See Recent Sell off of Suntec REIT.

 

Suntec REIT Technical Analysis

Suntec REIT has dropped about 13% from the peak in Jan 2015 and currently testing a critical resistance turned support level at about $1.74. Can Suntec REIT go lower?

Technically YES!

  • Suntec REIT is trading below 20D, 50D and 200D SMA. 20D and 50D are trending down. These are bearish signal.
  • Suntec REIT is trading within a down trend channel. “Lower Low, Lower High” down trend pattern is formed.
  • If this resistance turned support at $1.74 is broken, there will be more down side.

2015June12 SuntecReit-800x600

In Summary

Fundamentally the distribution yield of 5.17% gives me no excitement. There are other Singapore REIT can offer higher distribution yield than Suntec REIT. WALE are not so attractive because there are 25% lease will be expiring in 2016. There is no guarantee that the rental can be renewed at higher rate due to the weakness in global economy. Technically Suntec REIT is on down trend although finding a temporary support at $1.74 (take note that a Double Bottoms is formed, a potential reversal pattern). As an investment rule: NEVER buy when the stock is on down trend.

I will be covering all the Fundamental and Technical Analysis steps in the coming REIT class. Check out the detail HERE. Invest safely and protect your capital! You must know what you are doing and do your own homework instead of listening to the tips.

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City Development: Start of a New Up Trend?

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Is City Development starting a new uptrend after rebounded from the 200D SMA support? Base on 20D and 50D SMA direction, it looks like City Development is starting a new bull round. Need to see whether $10.55 resistance turned support level can be hold to confirm the uptrend. This level is also the 61.8% Fibonacci Retracement Level if using $10.00 as 0% FR and $10.90 as 100% FR. Immediate resistance at $10.90 followed by $11.09.

2015April17-CITYDEV-800x600

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Current P/E Ratio (ttm) 12.7611
Estimated P/E(12/2015) 15.4506
Relative P/E vs. FSSTI 0.9005
Earnings Per Share (SGD) (ttm) 0.8330
Est. EPS (SGD) (12/2015) 0.6880
Est. PEG Ratio 1.5474
Market Cap (M SGD) 9,666.79
Shares Outstanding (M) 909.39
30 Day Average Volume 1,198,430
Price/Book (mrq) 1.1963
Price/Sale (ttm) 2.5680
Dividend Indicated Gross Yield 0.75%
Cash Dividend (SGD) 0.0400
Dividend Ex-Date 04/30/2015
5 Year Dividend Growth 9.86%
Next Earnings Announcement 05/14/2015
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Noble Group: Down Trend Ended?

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Noble Group has broken out from the Down Trend Channel resistance. This is the 1st sign of potential reversal pattern. Things to watch for the reversal confirmation:

  • 20D & 50D starts to trend up.
  • A Higher High, Higher Low chart pattern formation.
  • Noble has to clear $1.17 resistance (38.2% Fibonacci Retracement Level)
  • Potential formation of Inverted Head and Shoulders with neckline at $1.17.

Potential Entry Point (Long position):

  • Noble pull back to form the Right Shoulder (Inverted Head and Shoulders)
  • Breakout at $1.17 and turned this resistance to support level.

Original post by Marubozu from My Stocks Investing Journey.

2015Feb6-Noble Group

Current P/E Ratio (ttm) 9.8036
Estimated P/E(12/2014) 11.6948
Relative P/E vs. FSSTI 0.6525
Earnings Per Share (USD) (ttm) 0.0871
Est. EPS (USD) (12/2014) 0.0730
Est. PEG Ratio 0.1893
Market Cap (M SGD) 7,784.08
Shares Outstanding (M) 6,739.47
30 Day Average Volume 26,969,120
Price/Book (mrq) 1.1027
Price/Sale (ttm) 0.0605
Dividend Indicated Gross Yield 0.99%
Cash Dividend (USD) 0.0300
Dividend Ex-Date 11/18/2014
5 Year Dividend Growth 3.75%
Next Earnings Announcement 02/18/2015
Continue ReadingNoble Group: Down Trend Ended?