Exclusive Insights: Interview with Elite Commercial REIT’s Management (Part 1)

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On 13th January 2022, I had the opportunity to speak to Elite Commercial REIT’s Management Team, consisting of Ms Shaldine Wang (Chief Executive Officer), Mr Joel Cheah (Chief Financial Officer), Ms Chai Hung Yin (Assistance Vice President, Investor Relations) and joined by Mr Jonathan Edmunds (Chief Investment Officer) from the United Kingdom.

Through this Q&A, we got to know in-depth details about Elite Commercial REIT, including Elite’s future plans, how its United Kingdom properties are doing, the United Kingdom’s ESG building requirements, and how Elite is working towards meeting these requirements. Part 1 of this series will touch on learning more about Elite Commercial REIT, its future plans, its sponsors and how the idea for this REIT was conceived, while Part 2 will discuss the financial impacts and benefits of going green (meeting ESG requirements), and how Elite Commercial REIT intends to achieve them.

Read Part 2 here.

 

Elite’s Investment Mandate


Kenny: Your investment mandate is currently to invest in United Kingdom Commercial properties. Many investors are interested in United Kingdom Properties. Are there any plans to expand your mandate, for example investing in other asset classes in the UK?

Shaldine (CEO): Not at the moment. Certain requirements have to be met when we change our investment mandate. Firstly, if we do so in the first 3 years, it will require unitholders approval. Secondly, when we first listed on the SGX 2 years ago, we were expecting Brexit but not COVID. Although with COVID happening, it does make sense for our properties to have a strong focus on having the UK government as our tenant, as it gives certainty in terms of rental income. Due to this reason, we have been able to report close to 100% collection of rental income. We see this as a very safe strategy, especially with COVID happening, to be able to pay our unitholders on time. You cannot find a more creditworthy tenant than the UK Government.

In terms of considering other asset classes, we are not ruling out changing our investment mandate to encompass other United Kingdom properties (not just commercial), however, we don’t feel that it is the right time yet. When the time comes, we will evaluate which asset class types will be suitable or complementary to our current portfolio.

 

With COVID happening, it does make sense for our properties to have a strong focus on having the UK government as our tenant, as it gives certainty in terms of rental income.

 

Kenny: As an investor myself I feel that it might be too concentrated, especially because moving forward, with remote working spaces and work from home, we may not need as many office spaces in the future.

Shaldine: We feel that there is a wider potential in terms of government assets in the UK as compared to Singapore.

Jonathan (CIO): It is a concern, however with the UK’s government response to the pandemic, we have been able to see the importance of these assets to the government. One of the UK government’s responses to the pandemic was to increase the number of people working in these properties by 13,500 and have also increased the size of their property portfolio. This means there is strong demand for assets to be let to the UK government.

Tenant credit strength is a major factor due to COVID, and other asset classes (especially the hospitality and leisure sectors) have been hugely affected. These COVID impacted businesses were not able to pay their rents on time unlike our tenants, where rents were paid on time every quarter and in advance within seven days of due date.

Our properties are also very diversified across the UK and a 7 per cent yield is very attractive especially because our tenant is the UK government. In addition, our lease terms are usually in excess of 10 years. (Editor’s note: Elite Commercial REIT has 155 properties across the United Kingdom, with a WALE of 6.0 years as at 31 Dec 2021) We feel that this is the best strategy for our unitholders.

 

The sweet spot is beyond the S$1 billion market cap. Usually, this is the point where it’ll start to attract institutional investors.

Kenny: Do you have any target, in terms of market cap size, within the next 3-5 years?

Shaldine: The sweet spot is beyond the S$1 billion market cap. Usually, this is the point where it’ll start to attract institutional investors. In terms of acquisitions, we have a list of assets in the UK that we are already targeting, with funds coming from both the sponsors and third parties. But for us, the priority now is to remove this lease break option overhang, so that we will be able to deliver what we said we could, before going to the next stage of further growing ourselves.

 

 

Dividend Reinvestment Plans (DRP)


Kenny: Will Elite Commercial REIT continue using Dividend Reinvestment Plans to preserve cash?

Joel: Interestingly, DRP is a repeated request by investors, ever since we have listed.

Shaldine: REITs do not usually start their DRP that early, but since we were listed,  we consistently received queries about it during our results  or business updates every quarter. Hence, it made sense for us to implement the DRP. The cost increment is not large. As a pound-listed REIT, every half-yearly, we have to get CDP to send out notices for election. Surprisingly, we had many people opting to receive dividends in pounds before the DRP. This meant people were interested and coupled with the recurring questions on DRP, we decided to move ahead with it within a year of our listing. In our perspective, the DRP has been quite successful and we will continue with it.

 

Sponsors: Elite Partners, Ho Lee Group and Sunway


Kenny: One of the largest concerns among my clients is the sponsor of the REIT, especially since sponsors are a major factor on how a REIT will perform. Can you give us a background of your sponsors?

Shaldine: Actually, it is not just the sponsors that make decisions for the REIT. We have a large Board of Directors, one of the largest among REITs, with a good pool of independent directors. Some of our sponsors have set up REITs before and are not new to this game. 

Sunway (Editor’s Note: Wiki page homepage) is an established real-estate developer set-up in Malaysia many years ago and are now expanding overseas with a track record of managing a REIT (Sunway REIT). They also have private funds setup to fund student accommodation portfolios etc.

Ho Lee (Editor’s Note: homepage) had sponsored Viva Industrial Trust back in the day, before the merger with ESR REIT. They are also not green in terms of sponsoring REITs.

Elite Partners Capital (Editor’s Note: homepage) is a relative newcomer in terms of sponsoring REITs, but if you look at who is behind Elite, they are not new guys in the REIT space. The team itself had worked in other REITs before such as Viva Industrial Trust.

 

As we cross the 2-year mark since our listing (6 Feb 2020), we believe we are no longer a new guy in the market. We have proven ourselves in the market through our track record of key milestones achieved since listing.

Joel: For example, within the 2nd year of listing, we entered into the SGX Fast Track Programme and have ranked joint 6 out of 45 REITs and Business Trusts in GIFT 2021 (Governance Index for Trusts).

 

 

How was the idea of an UK-based commercial REIT conceived?


When we acquired the UK properties, we had the intention to list it as a REIT from day one.

Shaldine: After the Viva-ESR merger, the team together with Ho Lee were looking at other investment classes, and we felt that the REIT market within Singapore was too saturated, so we decided to look into the overseas market for good opportunities. We chanced upon this, after looking at other portfolios such as a logistics portfolio in Poland in 2018. Since flying to Poland usually requires a stopover, while in the UK, we chanced upon a portfolio and realised that a portfolio in the UK seemed lucrative. A portfolio with Government tenanted assets, a geographically diversified portfolio, 10-year leases, freehold etc. 

We have intended to list Elite Commercial REIT from day one. When we saw the portfolio, we decided that it was something that we could list on SGX. It is something that is new to investors here.

Unlike in Singapore, UK transactions happen very fast. We’re talking about properties changing hands within 2-3 weeks. No one is going to wait for you to do your listing. We decided to purchase those properties under a private fund and structure it as a REIT while being in touch with SGX at the same time. If you haven’t realised, there were no acquisition fees during our IPO. We did the private fund with the intention to list it as a REIT and once that was completed, we started the necessary work with SGX. When investors came into the fund, they had already been notified and were asked if they were willing to take up the listed units when the REIT is listed. This meant that the original investors have converted their units into the listed units. We also did not try to get a big chunk in the difference between the units, hence, the listing process was very short. 

Click here to read Part 2, where we touch on how ESG requirements impact REITs financially, and how Elite Commercial REIT is working towards meeting ESG Requirements.

Kenny Loh is an Associate Wealth Advisory Director and REITs Specialist of Singapore’s top Independent Financial Advisor. He helps clients construct diversified portfolios consisting of different asset classes from REITs, Equities, Bonds, ETFs, Unit Trusts, Private Equity, Alternative Investments, Digital Assets and Fixed Maturity Funds to achieve an optimal risk adjusted return. Kenny is also a CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER, SGX Academy REIT Trainer, Certified IBF Trainer of Associate REIT Investment Advisor (ARIA) and also invited speaker of REITs Symposium and Invest Fair.  You can join my Telegram channel #REITirement – SREIT Singapore REIT Market Update and Retirement related news. https://t.me/REITirement
 
You can join my Telegram channel #REITirement – SREIT Singapore REIT Market Update and Retirement related news. https://t.me/REITirement

Continue ReadingExclusive Insights: Interview with Elite Commercial REIT’s Management (Part 1)

Money & Me: Optimism for S-REIT’s given earnings signals amid the Ukraine crisis

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14 March 2022

Money and Me: The case for being bullish on S-REITs amid the Ukraine crisis

S-Reits have barely registered a blip in response to the Ukraine crisis says Kenny Loh, REIT Specialist and Independent Financial Advisor. He tells Michelle Martin why he is still bullish on S-REITS in an environment of hyperinflation and geopolitical uncertainty.

Timestamps

0:00 Intro

2:06 How are S-REITs performing during market volatility due to the Russian invasion

3:34 Are S-REITs resilient as an asset class?

6:28 Other reasons why even due to geopolitcal volatility S-REITs are still good to invest in

8:31 Do you think it will be a good time to invest in S-REITs after the conflict?

11:30 March 2020 is the best time to buy S-REITs. Why now is also a good time to buy

12:21 The Hidden Bull: When will it happen?

Listen to his previous market outlook interviews here:

2022

2021

2020

Kenny Loh is an Associate Wealth Advisory Director and REITs Specialist of Singapore’s top Independent Financial Advisor. He helps clients construct diversified portfolios consisting of different asset classes from REITs, Equities, Bonds, ETFs, Unit Trusts, Private Equity, Alternative Investments, Digital Assets and Fixed Maturity Funds to achieve an optimal risk adjusted return. Kenny is also a CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER, SGX Academy REIT Trainer, Certified IBF Trainer of Associate REIT Investment Advisor (ARIA) and also invited speaker of REITs Symposium and Invest Fair.  

You can join my Telegram channel #REITirement – SREIT Singapore REIT Market Update and Retirement related news. https://t.me/REITirement

Continue ReadingMoney & Me: Optimism for S-REIT’s given earnings signals amid the Ukraine crisis

Singapore REIT Monthly Update (Mar 6th 2022)

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Technical Analysis of FTSE ST REIT Index (FSTAS351020)


FTSE ST Real Estate Investment Trusts (FTSE ST REIT Index) decreased from 816.11 to 827.88 (1.44%) compared to the last month update. The Singapore REIT index rebounded off 800 in January 2022 and has stayed within the 800-836 range.

  • Short-term direction: Sideways
  • Medium-term direction: Sideways
  • Long-term direction: Sideways
  • Immediate Support at 800, followed by 775.
  • Immediate Resistance at 836.

Following the correction from 800, the REIT Index went on a short-term uptrend until the Russian Invasion of Ukraine, when the REIT Index hit the support level of 807 on both February 24th and 28th. In the past 2 months, it has challenged the resistance of 836 a total of 3 times. It is now at 827.88.

 

 

 

Previous chart on FTSE ST REIT index can be found in the last post: Singapore REIT Fundamental Comparison Table on February 5th, 2022.

 

 

Fundamental Analysis of 40 Singapore REITs


The following is the compilation of 40 Singapore REITs with colour coding of the Distribution Yield, Gearing Ratio and Price to NAV Ratio.

  • The Financial Ratios are based on past data and there are lagging indicators.
  • This REIT table takes into account the dividend cuts due to the COVID-19 outbreak. Yield is calculated trailing twelve months (ttm), therefore REITs with delayed payouts might have lower displayed yields, thus yield displayed might be lower for more affected REITs.
  • All REITs are now updated with the latest Q4 2021 business updates/earnings.
  • Digital Core REIT has recently IPOed in December (highlighted in yellow) and have their values extracted from IPO Prospectuses. Yield is calculated based on *Estimated DPU (calculated from the Prospectus) / Current Price.

Data from StocksCafe REIT Screener. https://stocks.cafe/kenny/advanced

 

 

 

 

What does each Column mean?

  • FY DPU: If Green, FY DPU for the recent 4 Quarters is higher than that of the preceding 4 Quarters. If Lower, it is Red.
    • Most REITs are green since it is compared to 2020 as the base (during the pandemic)
  • Yield (ttm): Yield, calculated by DPU (trailing twelve months) and Current Price as of March 5th, 2022
    • Daiwa House Log Trust: Yield calculated from IPO Prospectus.
    • SPH REIT: Yield calculated from past 4 quarters where distribution has been declared.
  • Gearing (%): Leverage Ratio.
  • Price/NAV: Price to Book Value. Formula: Current Price (as of March 5th, 2022) over Net Asset Value per Unit.
  • Yield Spread (%): REIT yield (ttm) reference to Gov Bond Yields. REITs trading in USD is referenced to US Gov Bond Yield, everything else is referenced to SG Gov Bond Yield.
  •  
  •  

Price/NAV Ratios Overview

  • Price/NAV dropped slightly to 0.97.
    • Changed from 0.98 from February 2022.
    • Singapore Overall REIT sector is slightly undervalued now.
    • Take note that NAV is adjusted downward for most REITs due to drop in rental income during the pandemic (Property valuation is done using DCF model or comparative model)
  • Most overvalued REITs (based on Price/NAV)
    • Parkway Life REIT (Price/NAV = 1.95)
    • Keppel DC REIT (Price/NAV = 1.67)
    • Mapletree Industrial Trust (Price/NAV = 1.44)
    • Digital Core REIT (Price/NAV = 1.33)
    • Mapletree Logistics Trust (Price/NAV = 1.31)
    • ARA LOGOS Logistics Trust (Price/NAV = 1.25)
    • No change in ranking compared to last month (February 5th 2022 update)
  • Most undervalued REITs (based on Price/NAV)
    • Lippo Malls Indonesia Retail Trust (Price/NAV = 0.54)
    • BHG Retail REIT (Price/NAV = 0.59)
    • Frasers Hospitality Trust (Price/NAV = 0.67)
    • Far East Hospitality Trust (Price/NAV = 0.71)
    • OUE Commercial REIT (Price/NAV = 0.72)
    • ARA US Hospitality Trust (Price/NAV = 0.72)
    • No change in Top 5 ranking compared to last month (February 5th 2022 update).

Distribution Yields Overview

  • TTM Distribution Yield increased slightly to 6.00%.
    • Increased from 5.97% in February 2022.
    • 12 of 40 Singapore REITs have distribution yields of above 7%.
    • Do take note that these yield numbers are based on current prices taking into account the delayed distribution/dividend cuts due to COVID-19, and economic recovery. 
  • Highest Distribution Yield REITs (ttm)
    • United Hampshire REIT (9.76%)
    • Prime US REIT (8.86%)
    • Keppel Pacific Oak US REIT (8.81%)
    • First REIT (8.70%)
    • Elite Commercial REIT (8.42%)
    • EC World REIT (8.41%)
    • Reminder that these yield numbers are based on current prices taking into account delayed distribution/dividend cuts due to COVID-19.
    • Some REITs opted for semi-annual reporting and thus no quarterly DPU was announced.
    • A High Yield should not be the sole ratio to look for when choosing a REIT to invest in.
  • Yield Spread decreased to 4.14%.
    • Decreased from 4.18% in February 2022.

 

Gearing Ratios Overview

  • Gearing Ratio decreased to 37.04%. 
    • Decreased from 37.48% in February 2022.
    • Gearing Ratios are updated quarterly. All REITs have released their Q4 2021 business updates/earnings, hence have updated gearing ratios
    • In general, Singapore REITs sector gearing ratio is healthy but increased due to the reduction of the valuation of portfolios and an increase in borrowing due to Covid-19.
  • Highest Gearing Ratio REITs
    • ARA Hospitality Trust (44.3%)
    • Suntec REIT (43.7%)
    • Manulife US REIT (42.8%)
    • Frasers Hospitality Trust (42.5%)
    • Lippo Malls Retail Trust (42.5%)
    • Elite Commercial REIT (42.4%)

 

Market Capitalisation Overview

  • Total Singapore REIT Market Capitalisation increased by 1.77% to S$106.86 Billion.
    • Increased from S$105.0 Billion in February 2022.
  • Biggest Market Capitalisation REITs:
    • Capitaland Integrated Commercial Trust ($13.73B)
    • Ascendas REIT ($11.82B)
    • Mapletree Logistics Trust ($8.36B)
    • Mapletree Industrial Trust ($6.92B)
    • Mapletree Commercial Trust ($6.08B)
    • Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust ($5.34B)
    • No change in Top 5 rankings since August 2021.
  • Smallest Market Capitalisation REITs:
    • BHG Retail REIT ($279M)
    • ARA US Hospitality Trust ($389M)
    • Lippo Malls Indonesia Retail Trust ($391M)
    • United Hampshire REIT ($423M)
    • First REIT ($482M)
    • Sabana REIT ($487M)

Disclaimer: The above table is best used for “screening and shortlisting only”. It is NOT for investing (Buy / Sell) decision. If you want to know more about investing in REITs, here’s a subsidised 2-day course with all you need to know about REITs and how to start investing in them.

 

Top 20 Best Performers of the Month in February 2022


 (Source: https://stocks.cafe/kenny/advanced)

 

 

SG 10 Year & US 10 Year Government Bond Yield

  • SG 10 Year: 1.84% (increased from 1.78%)
  • US 10 Year: 1.77% (decreased from 1.92%)

 

 

 

Major REIT News in February 2022


S-REITs Earnings Season for the Period Ending 31 Dec 2021 has wrapped up

A total of 40 S-REITs have released their earnings/business updates for the Period Ending 31 Dec 2021 (30 Nov 2021 for SPH Reit). In summary (Daiwa House Log Trust and Digital Core REIT not included):

2021 vs 2020 Distribution change

30  of 38 REITs have increased in DPU y-o-y (>1% growth)

0 of 38 REITs have unchanged DPU y-o-y (Less than 1% Change) 

8 of 38 REITs have decreased in DPU y-o-y (>1% decline)

DPU Change (in %) for 2021 vs 2020.

NAV/Unit values (year-on-year change, Q4 2021 vs Q4 2020):

22 of 38 REITs have increased NAV/Unit values

4 of 38 REITs have unchanged NAV/Unit values

12 of 38 REITs have decreased NAV/Unit values

NAV Change (in %) for Q4 2021 vs Q4 2020.

Summary


Fundamentally, the whole Singapore REITs landscape is undervalued due to the recent correction based on the average Price/NAV value of the S-REITs. Below is the market cap heat map for the past 1 month. Generally, S-REITs in the past month have increased in market cap.

 

 

(Source: https://stocks.cafe/kenny/overview)

Yield spread (in reference to the 10 year Singapore government bond of 1.78% as of 5th February 2021) tightened slightly from 4.18% to 4.14%. The S-REIT Average Yield remained almost the same, but with a slight increase in Singapore Government Bond Yields from 1.78% to 1.84%, Yield Spread tightened slightly.

The risk premium remains attractive (compared to other asset classes) to accumulate Singapore REITs in stages to lock in the current price and to benefit from long-term yield after the recovery, especially since the S-REIT Market is undervalued. Moving forward, it is expected that DPU will continue to increase due to the recovery of the global economy, as seen in the previous few earning updates, especially for Hospitality REITs. NAV is expected to be adjusted upward due to revaluation of the portfolio.

Technically the FTSE ST REIT index is currently moving sideways. After challenging the resistance of 836 for 3 times, if the REIT Index breaks the resistance, it is expected to breakout. If the REIT Index breaks down below to current 800 support level, the next support is expected to be at 775. Otherwise, the REIT Index is currently moving sideways, trading between 800 and 836.

You can listen to my monthly REIT radio interview on MoneyFM89.3 here.

 

Note: This above analysis is for my own personal research and it is NOT a buy or sell recommendation. Investors who would like to leverage my extensive research and years of Singapore REIT investing experience can approach me separately for a REIT Portfolio Consultation.

Kenny Loh is a Senior Financial Advisory Manager and REITs Specialist of Singapore’s top Independent Financial Advisor. He helps clients construct diversified portfolios consisting of different asset classes from REITs, Equities, Bonds, ETFs, Unit Trusts, Private Equity, Alternative Investments, Digital Assets and Fixed Maturity Funds to achieve an optimal risk adjusted return. Kenny is also a CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER, SGX Academy REIT Trainer, Certified IBF Trainer of Associate REIT Investment Advisor (ARIA) and also invited speaker of REITs Symposium and Invest Fair.  You can join my Telegram channel #REITirement – SREIT Singapore REIT Market Update and Retirement related news. https://t.me/REITirement

Continue ReadingSingapore REIT Monthly Update (Mar 6th 2022)