SIA: Counter Trend Bet?

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SIA reached the 3 years low and currently just sitting on the support level at about $9.43. Is it worth a bet to trade on the counter trend rebound? Looks like an attractive bet with good Reward vs Risk Ratio if keep a tight stop loss. Price target for the rebound (need to wait for the reversal candles) is $9.88 (38.2% FR) followed by $10.00.

2014Feb8-SIA-800x600

Original post by Marubozu from My Stocks Investing Journey.

SIA Fundamental Data

Current P/E Ratio (ttm) 27.6833
Estimated P/E(03/2014) 22.8571
Relative P/E vs. FSSTI 2.1632
Earnings Per Share (SGD) (ttm) 0.3410
Est. EPS (SGD) (03/2014) 0.4130
Est. PEG Ratio 1.2663
Market Cap (M SGD) 11,081.38
Shares Outstanding (M) 1,173.88
30 Day Average Volume 829,300
Price/Book (mrq) 0.8324
Price/Sale (ttm) 0.7250
Dividend Indicated Gross Yield 2.86%
Cash Dividend (SGD) 0.1000
Dividend Ex-Date 11/20/2013
5 Year Dividend Growth -23.04%
Next Earnings Announcement 05/16/2014

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VALUATION RATIOS

Company Industry Sector
P/E Ratio (TTM) 27.93 26.64 1,163.51
P/E High – Last 5 Yrs. 84.67 19.29 43.54
P/E Low – Last 5 Yrs. 9.81 13.38 10.66

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Wilmar: Dead Cat Bounce Finished?

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Wilmar rebounded after breaking down from a Head and Shoulders pattern. The stock is currently testing the down trend channel resistance with a Gravestone Doji. Also take note that Wilmar was rejected at the 200D SMA resistance. A good short candidate if there is a candle confirmation to end this Dead Cat Bounce.

2014Feb7-Wilmar

Original post by Marubozu from My Stocks Investing Journey.

Wilmar Fundamental Data

Current P/E Ratio (ttm) 11.4212
Estimated P/E(12/2013) 12.4878
Relative P/E vs. FSSTI 0.8925
Earnings Per Share (USD) (ttm) 0.2230
Est. EPS (USD) (12/2013) 0.2040
Est. PEG Ratio 1.2243
Market Cap (M SGD) 20,669.02
Shares Outstanding (M) 6,399.08
30 Day Average Volume 5,987,267
Price/Book (mrq) 1.1083
Price/Sale (ttm) 0.3695
Dividend Indicated Gross Yield 1.70%
Cash Dividend (SGD) 0.0250
Dividend Ex-Date 08/16/2013
5 Year Dividend Growth 0.37%
Next Earnings Announcement 02/20/2014

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VALUATION RATIOS

Company Industry Sector
P/E Ratio (TTM) 11.26 23.60 34.34
P/E High – Last 5 Yrs. 21.22 15.11 30.64
P/E Low – Last 5 Yrs. 8.23 6.41 18.50

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Singapore REIT Fundamental Analysis Comparison Table – 8 Feb 2014

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FTSE ST Real Estate Investment Trusts (FTSE ST REIT) Index changes from 714.92 to 696.54 compare to last post on Singapore REIT Fundamental Comparison Table on Jan 2, 2014. The index is trading below 200D SMA and technically bearish. The index is current testing the support at about 690 with the formation of Descending Triangle. Breaking down from this Descending Triangle will trigger more selling of Singapore REITs.

FTSE ST REIT Index Feb8-2014

Compare to last Singapore REIT comparison table:

  • Added OUE Commercial REIT.
  • Price/NAV decreases from 1.001 to 0.9471.
  • Dividend Yield increases from  6.34% to 6.80%.
  • Gearing Ratio increases from  33.34% to 33.93%.
  • In general, most Singapore REIT is slightly under value now and the distribution yield is reasonable. However technically Singapore REIT is in the bearish territory and going to drop further if the 690 support (FTSE ST REIT Index Chart) is broken. So don’t be ignorant to think this is the time to buy REIT yet as the price can drop further.  The uncertainty in term of interest hike in near future remains high as Federal has started the QE tapering after a series of good economy data in US. Any hike in interest will affect the distribution income (reduction), NAV (value drops) and also the gearing ratio (increase) of the REIT. All of these will weaken the fundamental of the REIT and affect the REIT share price. If you are still holding REIT at the moment, you need to have a strong heart to handle the potential new drop in your REIT. Investors need to look at the TOTAL Profit & Loss (Initial Capital + Dividend) in any REIT investment analysis. It is no point to gain the Annual Dividend of 8% but lose the capital invested of 10% within 2 weeks (if the share price drop by 10% in 2 weeks). This is extremely possible as currently Singapore REITs in in the bearish down trend.

Singapore REIT NAV Gearing Distribution Yield Comparison Table 8-Feb-2014

Find out how do I conduct research on Singapore REIT, how I color code and interpret those financial ratio in the comparison table, and why am I NOT touching any REIT at the moment although some REITs are undervalue. Find out WHERE and HOW to read the FTSE ST Real Estate Investment Trust Index because timing is very critical in making any investment decision.  Check out my next public tutorial on  “How to pick Singapore REIT for Dividend Investing” .

Continue ReadingSingapore REIT Fundamental Analysis Comparison Table – 8 Feb 2014